Polls: NBC: NV, CO, MO, OH, NC, VA, FL, PA (10/28-29)

[HughMoran]

Note: these are Mason-Dixon polls - weigh appropriately :freak:

NBC / Mason-Dixon
10/28-29/08; 625 LV, 4%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
(source)

Nevada
Obama 47, McCain 43

Colorado
Obama 49, McCain 44

Missouri
McCain 47, Obama 46

Florida
Obama 47, McCain 45

Ohio
McCain 47, Obama 45

North Carolina
McCain 49, Obama 46

Virginia
Obama 47, McCain 44

Pennsylvania
Obama 47, McCain 43

[dennis4868]

1. ENOUGH WITH THE MASON DIXON POLL...

numbers...my head is going to explode!:banghead:

[Jennicut]

4. LOL! Mine too Dennis. I will be happy after this election to never have to look at

another freaking poll again. Except in another 4 years..ugg.

[dennis4868]

6. MSM only reports the M-D polls that makes McCain look good...

but there are plenty of poll numbers that look great for Obama in very red states...Georgia, Lousianna, etc...

By the way, have a great day Jennicut! :-)

[Jennicut]

12. You too Dennis. I am going out to lunch with my Mom, I need a break from polls

and worrying!

[dennis4868]

13. enjoy...

lunch!

[LittleBlue]

2. Looks good to me

This is the most conservative poll so far, in terms of Obama support.

[Jennicut]

3. Even stupid Mason-Dixon has Obama leading in almost all the battleground states

Ohio is actually looking good for Obama lately in other polls and Missouri is tied!

[Median Democrat]

5. Though All Are Within Margin Of Error

I am somewhat surprised that Virginia is now listed as close given Nancy P saying that Northern Virginia is not real Virginia.

[fujiyama]

7. Not bad oveall

He's leading in all the states he needs. Considering M/D has had a republican lean, this will now be about turnout in OH, FL, NC, and MO. Many have voted, but if we can get the folks out in those states, Obama can take them.

It looks like Obama's got a firewall. I'm really happy to see them giving Obama the lead in NV, CO, and VA. He's up in all the Western states, except AZ. VA actually has improved in Obama's favor by one point since the last poll (I last saw it at 2 points).

I notice that M/D always has more undecideds/other than most other poll companies. Anyone know why? Do they not push leaners as hard? I rarely see a candidate above fifty when they lead in a poll.

[CitizenLeft]

8. not that I give these polls a lot of credence, but look at the dates...

Unless they were calling people at 9:00 at night on 10/29, the calls were made before Obama's 30-min ad. Not that he would necessarily get a huge bounce out of it, but it should at least effect these numbers somewhat.

[Bumblebee]

9. They always underestimate the Dem support (but Dispatch does the opposite).

KOS has this for Ohio in 2006

Actual:
Brown (D) 56
DeWine (R) 44

Dispatch poll: Off by 12
Brown (D) 62
DeWine (R) 38

Mason-Dixon: Off by 6
Brown (D) 50
DeWine (R) 44

Zogby: Off by nine.
Brown (D) 49
DeWine (R) 42

CNN: Off by three.
Brown (D) 54
DeWine (R) 43


2006 Governor

Actual
Strickland (D) 61
Blackwell (R) 37

Dispatch poll: Off by 12 points.
Strickland (D) 67
Blackwell (R) 31

Mason-Dixon: Off by five.
Strickland (D) 56
Blackwell (R) 37

CNN: Off by four.
Strickland (D) 59
Blackwell (R) 39

[Thrill]

10. Useless Polls. All taken before the 30 min ad

[Frank Booth]

11. What, posting these polls 10 times already wasn't enough?

[FUCK_BUSH]

14. I am only concern about PA right now.Very concern.

[malik flavors]

15. All within the margin of error. I hope we get a good share of undecideds, or it could get scary.

Mason-Dixon is a tough poller, but they had a pretty good track record during the primaries.

[FVZA_Colonel]

16. Aren't a lot of these improvements over previous polls, if only slightly?

[dennis4868]

17. YES...

read this...http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/11/house-effects-in-action.html