VA: Obama 50, McCain 46 (SurveyUSA-10/30-11/1)

[HughMoran]

I think 4 is good at this point in VA.

[dennis4868]

1. I hope other polls show...

more of a lead for Obama in VA.....

[thewiseguy]

2. Link please?

[HughMoran]

8. Within

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=bccf3ebd-67cc-4a9d-a5fb-c77588567594

SUSA

[FVZA_Colonel]

11. How has McCain gained so much so quickly among white voters in Virginia?

[FVZA_Colonel]

3. How did Obama lose like 5 points in so few days?

[Zynx]

5. If you look inside the two polls, the samples have different weightings for population.

[FVZA_Colonel]

7. Ahh, thank you.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

6. Different Polls...Different Methodologies

~

[Zynx]

4. I peg Obama's win at about 5 points there. I did a week ago and I stick to it.

He was never going to win by 10. That was silly. That would be an 18 point shift in spread from election to election.

[PBS Poll-435]

9. That looks about right!

What a dramatic shift from 4 years ago!

[Hope And Change]

10. Sen. Clinton is campaigning for Obama today in Fairfax, VA and...

Obama will campaign on Monday in Manassas, VA.

[Smuckies]

12. I'll take it.

A bit close, but a win is a win. I think we'll take VA.

[jefferson_dem]

13. This poll dramatically understates turnout among blacks.

SUSA has blacks at 18% of the VA electorate. They were at 21% in 2004. This year, they should be at least 23-4%.

That being said, the earlier SUSA poll pegged black turnout at 18% also so the trend is not great.

[dennis4868]

15. SUSA

is rated very highly over at 538.com....

[jefferson_dem]

16. They nailed most of the early primaries.

Later on, if memory serves, they struggled a bit with wild variation.

[MattNC]

17. yes

they struggled in the South especially, though I think they did well in Virginia.

[Glenda]

14. kickpoll

:kick: