Pew Poll- Obama Leads McCain 52% to 46% in Campaign's Final Days

[DemocratSinceBirth]

http://pewresearch.org/pubs/1020/pew-final-pre-election-poll

Three observations:

They nailed 04 -Bush-51% -Kerry 48%

It's a damn shame there is always a gap between Democratic registered voters and Democratic likely voter...How can you sit this election out?


52-46 would be a nice win...

[HughMoran]

1. I hope the Dems surprise us and don't get discouraged by the hate machine

Fingers crossed.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

4. There Is Always A Gap...It Sucks...

The gap is between likely voters, registered voters, and all adults and it always favors the Republicants...

Any way 52-46 would be sweet...

[Zynx]

2. With higher turnout, we'll see. I personally think numbers will trend more toward registereds this

year.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. That Would Be Nice But I Suspect Pew Gave It Lots Of Thought

~

[Zynx]

8. No doubt, but they also may be trying to be more conservative in their hedging.

Pollsters don't like to be known as outliers.

[sharp_stick]

3. Am I reading it right

that they are estimating turnout of the undecideds to get to that 52-46? Is that a common polling technique? But hey, I'll take anything over 50%, a 6 point win will be a big win if it turns out that way.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

6. They Have To Allocate Undecideds...It's 49-42 Without Allocation

~

[knowledgeispwr]

5. Nice poll.

Obama has a healthy lead.

[cal04]

9. Pew: Obama on pace to break 50%

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1108/15186.html

Barack Obama is on track to be the first Democrat to win a majority of the vote since 1976, according to the final pre-election poll by the Pew Research Center.

Obama leads John McCain 52 to 46 percent, by Pew’s measure, which projects that McCain will win undecided voters by a slight margin.

Pew’s final pre-election poll in 2004, including its projection of the undecided vote, correctly predicted that George W. Bush would defeat John Kerry 51 to 48 percent.

When undecided voters are excluded, Obama's lead in the Pew poll increases slightly, to 49-42.