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Mason-Dixon had one of the most astonishing poll fuckups of the season back in Feb:

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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:28 PM
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Mason-Dixon had one of the most astonishing poll fuckups of the season back in Feb:
http://media.mcclatchydc.com/static/pdf/poll/020308gadem.pdf

In their final Georgia poll, they showed Hillary within 6 points of Obama and getting 23% of the black vote. This is astonishingly bad and to the point of extreme statistical outlier. I don't feel like doing a z-distribution on it, but the odds are something less than .001% that they could have gotten a result like that. Similarly, their Missouri poll was also off:

http://media.mcclatchydc.com/static/pdf/poll/020308modem.pdf

They showed a 6-point Hillary lead. I think Mason-Dixon has a serious tendancy to understate Obama support.
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Bicoastal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:30 PM
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1. Well, by that same token, PPP has good results in the works for Pennsylvania tonight...
...but people will remind you they had Obama winning the state in the primaries. I'm not sure the two situations are comparable, though.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:31 PM
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2. Fair enough, but that goes to show that no result is definitive.
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BluegrassDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:34 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. PPP admitted they fucked up in PA and said they fixed the problem
Edited on Sun Nov-02-08 05:34 PM by BluegrassDem
Mason-Dixon, ironically, is supposed to be real good in South, so it's really weird how much they fucked up Georgia. I will give PPP credit for acknowledging they were wrong and fixed it so that it wouldn't happen again like that.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:34 PM
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4. Mason-Dixon fucked up more than once
Their Missouri Poll had Clinton winning by 6

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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:45 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Yeah. Btw, what are you doing on Tuesday night here in Madison?
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:53 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. Go to my friends for an election watch party.
Bring my computer so I can check all the stats and such from all the states. You?
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:56 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. I have bribed and coerced my family to come into Madtown to watch the results at my place.
It's going to be awesome here in Madtown if things go how they look they are going to go.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:57 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. I hope things are done when the West Coast comes in....I wanna go out and celebrate :)
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:58 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. I think they will be able to call the election once Cali, WA, and OR come in.
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