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Final PPP poll of VA: Obama 52(no change), McPalin 46(+3)

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thesubstanceofdreams Donating Member (625 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 10:06 PM
Original message
Final PPP poll of VA: Obama 52(no change), McPalin 46(+3)

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/

"The undecideds may be moving toward John McCain but the Democratic nominee has not lost any ground and given that he's over 50% that's a good sign for his prospects there.

More important Obama is still holding the same 42% share of the white vote that he had last week. McCain has improved from 53 to 56% within that demographic."
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AndyTiedye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 10:07 PM
Response to Original message
1. 6% Again. Why is It Always 6%?
Edited on Sun Nov-02-08 10:08 PM by AndyTiedye
Could it be that they have been telling us that there will be a 6% "Bradley Effect" red shift? :scared:

(Of course, we all know that the "Bradley Effect" is really the effect of Repiglickin voter suppression and vote-stealing).

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mollymongold Donating Member (350 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 10:12 PM
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2. a 6% win is good enough for me
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spooky3 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 10:13 PM
Response to Original message
3. I don't trust any pollster that does not clearly state Margin of Error and
other important info along with the summary of results.

This "movement" is probably just error variance/noise.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 10:13 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. What do you mean? PPP clearly states all their info
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thesubstanceofdreams Donating Member (625 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 10:16 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. Details in their release:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Virginia_1102.pdf

PPP surveyed 1,557 likely voters from October 31st to November 2nd. The survey’s
margin of error is +/-2.5%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and
weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.
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AlexinVA Donating Member (54 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 10:13 PM
Response to Original message
4. Bush won by 8%
and VA hasn't voted for a Democratic president in over 40 years.

I'll take a 6% margin of victory for Obama.
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