OmahaBlueDog
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Sun Nov-02-08 11:35 PM
Original message |
RCP just lowered Obama's totals to 278 |
RB TexLa
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Sun Nov-02-08 11:36 PM
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1. Above 270 is all that matters, actually 269 is good enough as we control more state |
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Edited on Sun Nov-02-08 11:37 PM by RGBolen
delegations to the house.
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Zynx
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Sun Nov-02-08 11:36 PM
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2. Look at McCain's number though. |
OmahaBlueDog
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Sun Nov-02-08 11:38 PM
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3. No doubt... even if he runs the tossups, he loses |
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..and I doubt he'll run the tossups.
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krawhitham
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Sun Nov-02-08 11:40 PM
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4. It will go back when they average in the new PPP for VA |
MadBadger
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Sun Nov-02-08 11:46 PM
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6. They dont average in "partisan" pollsters anymore |
Moloch
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Sun Nov-02-08 11:53 PM
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10. RCP doesn't include party-affiliated polls anymore... |
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and PPP is a Democratic poll.
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WCGreen
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Sun Nov-02-08 11:45 PM
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5. The volitility of some of the late braking polls have skewed the |
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average so they are playing it safe...
Ohio and VA will go for Obama...
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PretzelWarrior
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Sun Nov-02-08 11:47 PM
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7. RCP's method was challenged by another pollster on CSpan |
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because he folds in outlier polls. The other pollster said the method is like weighing yourself on 4 scales. 3 of them say you weigh 175 and 1 says you way 370. If you average them out do you assume that is close? Or do you throw out the incorrect poll?
RCP uses stupid data such as the 1 day stuff from Zogby.
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HughMoran
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Sun Nov-02-08 11:48 PM
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8. Yeah, was like that hours ago - add in tossups and it looks like EV.com @ 353 |
Unsane
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Sun Nov-02-08 11:52 PM
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9. Kind of misleading. According to the website, Obama has 278 EVEN IF HE LOSES EVERY TOSS UP STATE |
Patsy Stone
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Mon Nov-03-08 12:29 AM
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This is the second thread on this "news" which missed that point somehow. Hmmmm...
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jazzjunkysue
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Sun Nov-02-08 11:59 PM
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11. It shows that gramps is done. We knew that. No one is saying anything otherwise. |
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Well, even this morning, the pundits on Faux said it was over. heard it myself.
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BamaTideFan83
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Mon Nov-03-08 12:01 AM
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269 or better is all we need. He's got 278 LOCKED UP. The rest just strengthens his "mandate." We're talking LANDSLIDE. No way McLoser takes more than a couple of the toss-up states.
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OmahaBlueDog
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Mon Nov-03-08 12:06 AM
Response to Reply #12 |
13. I keep trying to remind myself we'd have killed for a number like that with Kerry |
BamaTideFan83
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Mon Nov-03-08 12:47 AM
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16. The trend has bottomed. |
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It's all bonuses from here. Get ready to cheer yourself hoarse Tuesday night as state after state turns darks blue.
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grantcart
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Mon Nov-03-08 12:08 AM
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14. That's alright I put it back |
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so McCain has to win every single tossup state and he still loses.
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Wed May 08th 2024, 10:55 PM
Response to Original message |