(in case you didn't realize) We're Going to Win!!!!!!!! latest polls from RCP:

[amborin]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/

Date State Previous Status Current Status RCP Electoral Count RCP National Avg.

11/03 Minnesota Solid Obama »»» Leaning Obama Obama 278 - McCain 132 Obama +6.9
11/02 Virginia Leaning Obama »»» Toss Up Obama 278 - McCain 132 Obama +6.4
11/02 Ohio Leaning Obama »»» Toss Up Obama 278 - McCain 132 Obama +6.4
11/01 South Dakota Solid McCain »»» Leaning McCain Obama 311 - McCain 132 Obama +6.8
11/01 Arkansas Solid McCain »»» Leaning McCain Obama 311 - McCain 132 Obama +6.8


Obama 278, McCain 132, Toss Ups 128 | No Toss Ups: Obama 338, McCain 200
Solid Obama Leaning Obama Solid McCain Leaning McCain Toss Up (Click Header to Sort)
State Obama (D) McCain (R) RCP Average RCP Status 2004 2000
Florida (27) 48.5 46.0 Obama +2.5 Toss Up Bush +5.0 Bush +0.1
North Carolina (15) 47.8 47.8 Tie Toss Up Bush +12.4 Bush +12.8
Missouri (11) 47.2 47.6 McCain +0.4 Toss Up Bush +7.2 Bush +3.3
Indiana (11) 46.2 47.6 McCain +1.4 Toss Up Bush +20.7 Bush +15.7
Georgia (15) 46.0 49.0 McCain +3.0 Toss Up Bush +16.6 Bush +11.7
Montana (3) 45.0 48.8 McCain +3.8 Toss Up Bush +20.5 Bush +25.0
Arizona (10) 45.8 49.3 McCain +3.5 Toss Up Bush +10.5 Bush +6.3
Virginia (13) 50.0 45.8 Obama +4.2 Toss Up Bush +8.2 Bush +8.1
Ohio (20) 49.3 45.0 Obama +4.3 Toss Up Bush +2.1 Bush +3.5
Colorado (9) 50.5 45.0 Obama +5.5 Leaning Bush +4.7 Bush +8.4
Nevada (5) 49.6 43.4 Obama +6.2 Leaning Bush +2.6 Bush +3.5
Pennsylvania (21) 51.3 43.7 Obama +7.6 Leaning Kerry +2.5 Gore +4.2
New Mexico (5) 50.3 43.0 Obama +7.3 Leaning Bush +0.7 Gore +0.1
South Dakota (3) 42.0 50.3 McCain +8.3 Leaning Bush +21.5 Bush +22.7
West Virginia (5) 42.5 51.0 McCain +8.5 Leaning Bush +12.9 Bush +6.3
Arkansas (6) 43.0 52.3 McCain +9.3 Leaning Bush +9.7 Bush +5.4
Minnesota (10) 51.6 41.8 Obama +9.8 Leaning Kerry +3.5 Gore +2.4
New Hampshire (4) 52.8 42.2 Obama +10.6 Solid Kerry +1.3 Bush +1.3
South Carolina (8) 43.0 53.0 McCain +10.0 Solid Bush +17.1 Bush +15.9
Wisconsin (10) 52.8 41.8 Obama +11.0 Solid Kerry +0.4 Gore +0.2
Mississippi (6) 39.3 50.7 McCain +11.4 Solid Bush +19.6 Bush +16.9
Iowa (7) 54.0 38.7 Obama +15.3 Solid Bush +0.7 Gore +0.3
New Jersey (15) 53.5 37.3 Obama +16.2 Solid Kerry +6.7 Gore +15.8
Oregon (7) 55.3 39.7 Obama +15.6 Solid Kerry +4.2 Gore +0.5
Washington (11) 53.7 40.3 Obama +13.4 Solid Kerry +8.2 Gore +5.5
Michigan (17) 52.5 39.5 Obama +13.0 Solid Kerry +3.4 Gore +5.2
Maine (4) 54.4 38.8 Obama +15.6 Solid Kerry +9.0 Gore +5.1
Texas (34) 40.5 53.5 McCain +13.0 Solid Bush +22.9 Bush +21.3
California (55) 58.7 34.3 Obama +24.4 Solid Kerry +9.9 Gore +11.8
Massachusetts (12) 57.0 35.7 Obama +21.3 Solid Kerry +25.1 Gore +27.3
Kentucky (8) 41.0 54.5 McCain +13.5 Solid Bush +19.9 Bush +15.1
Alaska (3) 40.7 56.0 McCain +15.3 Solid Bush +25.6 Bush +30.9
Connecticut (7) 55.3 36.0 Obama +19.3 Solid Kerry +10.3 Gore +17.5
New York (31) 62.0 32.3 Obama +29.7 Solid Kerry +18.3 Gore +25.0
Tennessee (11) 38.8 52.8 McCain +14.0 Solid Bush +14.3 Bush +3.9
Alabama (9) 33.5 56.8 McCain +23.3 Solid Bush +25.7 Bush +14.9
Illinois (21) 59.0 34.3 Obama +24.7 Solid Kerry +10.4 Gore +12.0

[sakabatou]

1. It's not over till it's over.

[amborin]

2. you're right, and complacency is the biggest threat now, i think n/t

[Virginia Dare]

4. I don't know any complacent Democrats at this moment..

not to say there aren't any, but 2000 and 2004 are still fresh in most of our minds.

[amborin]

5. in mine, too....

we drove to las vegas and got assigned a very low ses neighborhood, went door to door all day....started back to so cal believing kerry had won, only to hear the increasingly grim news....

but i felt very nervous in '04 and was called a concern troll by folks here (i used a different handle then)

i really thought kerry would lose

this time, i feel confident Obama will win

[Virginia Dare]

6. I'm at the same place you are..

I remember canvassing the weekend before the 2004 election and just getting a bad feeling. Not so this time, I'm confident.

[azmouse]

3. Tomorrow is going to be wonderful!

:party:

[Fluffdaddy]

7. I hope you are all right..............I can't take another loss

[uponit7771]

8. This is crazy, my understanding is RCP had Bush 2 points + this time in 04...Obama at +7 is good

[jpertello]

9. YUP, except, they will steal it. Be prepared.