nygrl224
(62 posts)
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Mon Nov-03-08 11:09 AM
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This stupid Bradley crap! |
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Im sure everyone is sick of hearing about this. I don't understand why they still insist not to pay attention to polls because of it. If there was a huge "Bradley Effect" wouldn't that mean that he would not have made it through the primary? Now, I didn't follow the primaries, but all I hear is how Obama underperformed in every poll. Is that true?
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Two Sheds
(419 posts)
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Mon Nov-03-08 11:11 AM
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1. Be sweet...it's all they got left |
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They're about to realize that the two gubernatorial elections used to support the BE theory, Bradley's and Wilder's in Virginia's, were a long-ass time ago. This is a different country.
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nygrl224
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Mon Nov-03-08 11:12 AM
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scheming daemons
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Mon Nov-03-08 11:13 AM
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3. If there was a Bradley Effect, Harold Ford Jr. would've lost by 8 instead of 3 |
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Final polls in Tennessee in 2006 showed him down by 8.
He lost by 3.
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JPZenger
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Mon Nov-03-08 11:29 AM
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4. Bradley Effect was caused by a gun control Ballot question |
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NPR had a good story about the California election that created the term Bradley effect. The people involved said there was sloppy polling, so the pollster created the Bradley effect term to cover up his screwup. It was a ballot question about gun control that caused the loss - because it resulted in unexpectedly high turnout from rural Republican areas of the State. That is similar to what happened to Kerry in Ohio in 2004.
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Captain Hilts
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Mon Nov-03-08 01:28 PM
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5. And is the wall Obama faces in PA, etc. Guns. Not race. It's that simple. |
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Mon May 13th 2024, 07:44 AM
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