Here's a polling irony for you...

[regnaD kciN]

When dKos/R2K introduced its tracking poll, many people suspected that the poll would be designed to have a Democratic skew. And, indeed, looking at the party weighting, it would appear that this poll assumes a higher Democratic advantage than practically any other out there.

All the more ironic, then, that this poll may wind up producing the smallest margin of any of the major trackers for Obama. Its last two days have only been O+4 -- meaning that, depending on the outcome of tonight's surveys, their final figure is likely to have Obama up by 3 to 5 points. By contrast, the Zogby and Gallup LV Traditional models, with turnout mirroring the very Republican-favorable 2004 election, are likely to both have an Obama margin two to three times larger than dKos/R2K. Go figure... :shrug:

[Shoelace]

1. screw the polls, I follow Intrade, 364 electoral votes for Obama

which predicted '04's outcome better than any of them. Take a look.

http://www.intrade.com/