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538 has Obama at a new high of 98.1%

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RL3AO Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-03-08 06:19 PM
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538 has Obama at a new high of 98.1%
Nate even took a cheap shot at Drudge in the process.

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/11/obama-marches-toward-victory.html

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liberalmuse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-03-08 06:20 PM
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1. If I weren't going to be GOTVing all day tomorrow...
I'd be keeping a close eye on Intrade and any other gambling site I could find.
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RL3AO Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-03-08 06:27 PM
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2. 538: Evening polling update


<snip>

With fewer than six hours until voting begins in Dixville Notch, New Hampshire, the national polling picture has cleared up considerably. Barack Obama is on the verge of a victory, perhaps a decisive victory, in the race for the White House.

The national polls have all consolidated into a range of roughly Obama +7. That is right about where our model sees the race as well, giving Obama a 6.8 point advantage in its composite of state and national polling. Our model notes, however, that candidates with large leads in the polls have had some tendency to underperform marginally on election day, and so projects an Obama win of 6.0 points tomorrow.

<snip>

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/11/todays-polls-113-pm-edition.html
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BlooInBloo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-03-08 06:38 PM
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3. How fitting for his highest win % to come on the last polls.
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