SUSA: Pennsylvania 52-43, Florida 50-47. (Obama leads both)

[nsd]

TPM

Final SurveyUSA Polls Show Obama Ahead In Pennsylvania, Florida
By Eric Kleefeld - November 3, 2008, 11:15PM

SurveyUSA has its final polls out in the big swing states of Florida and Pennsylvania, and both show Barack Obama ahead.

The numbers from Florida show a very narrow advantage for Barack Obama -- thanks in large part to the campaign's early-vote campaign. The numbers: Obama 50%, McCain 47%, a three-point lead with a ±3.8% margin of error. Two weeks ago, McCain had a 49%-47% edge.

The internals show Obama winning the early vote 58%-40%, with an estimated 58% of the total likely vote already cast. McCain wins the remaining likely voters 56%-38%, helping him to close the gap somewhat.

The ultimate result, then, depends on how many voters there really are left, and to what degree they break for McCain.

On top of that, their final poll from Pennsylvania doesn't show any good news for McCain. Obama has a lead of nine points, 52%-43%, compared to yesterday's poll that showed a 51%-44% Obama lead. If Obama picks up red states like Florida or other big gets like Virginia, and McCain can't poach Pennsylvania from the Democratic column, it will be a very bad night for the GOP.

[mollymongold]

1. If we tie McCain in Florida on election day we win!!!!!!!!!!!!

I hope we have a lot of Florida voters that will vote on election day.

[MadBadger]

2. Undecideds moving towards Obama in PA

[HughMoran]

3. Well, that last PA poll is very encouraging!!

Up 2 from yesterday? Nice!!!