Professor Sam Wang's Final Predictions-He Nailed 04 By Using Meta-Analysis-Click

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Obama 352 EV, McCain 186 with this caveat:




Bias analysis: I expect cell phone users missing from landline surveys to give Obama a 1% boost. Based on the bias adjustment I gave you earlier, this scenario brings the median to a level that is still within the 68% confidence band above. I use it as my personal prediction: Obama 364 EV, McCain 174 EV.

Popular vote: The median Obama-McCain margin is Obama +7.0+/-0.8% (n=9, 10/31-11/2). The error bar incorporates assignment of undecided voters. My final prediction is Obama 53%, McCain 46%, third-party candidates 1%.


http://election.princeton.edu/2008/11/04/final-predictions-for-2008/#more-2288

[grantcart]

1. There have been some additional cell phone studies showing that cell phone bias

could be between2-4% for Obama

[DemocratSinceBirth]

2. That's Really High And Will Impact RoboPollsters Like Rasmussen , PPP, and Survey USA In The Future

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