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Okay, come on, state your confidence % at this very moment

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
Jackeens Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:15 PM
Original message
Okay, come on, state your confidence % at this very moment
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Jackeens Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:15 PM
Response to Original message
1. 80%
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alcibiades_mystery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:15 PM
Response to Original message
2. 98%
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JeffR Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:16 PM
Response to Original message
3. 100%
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RagAss Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:16 PM
Response to Original message
4. 94%
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graywarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:16 PM
Response to Original message
5. 90%
NH
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Schulzz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:16 PM
Response to Original message
6. 99%
50% for a landslide.
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boobooday Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:16 PM
Response to Original message
7. 87%
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BooScout Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:17 PM
Response to Original message
8. 83.457 percent
Just to be different.:silly:
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stlsaxman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:17 PM
Response to Original message
9. 99.9%
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WeDidIt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:17 PM
Response to Original message
10. 98.9%
Nate's got me convinced:

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
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MercutioATC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:17 PM
Response to Original message
11. 92%
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GP6971 Donating Member (131 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:17 PM
Original message
110% n/t
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EstimatedProphet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:17 PM
Response to Original message
12. 99.7%
That's 3 sigmas.
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AndyA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:17 PM
Response to Original message
13. 75%.
Enough for a mandate.
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scheming daemons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:17 PM
Response to Original message
14. 99%
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FVZA_Colonel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:18 PM
Response to Original message
15. 85%.
I really think we're gonna win this thing, but any time someone even hints at problems I get all frazzled.
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143tbone Donating Member (468 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:18 PM
Response to Original message
16. 80%
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Scoot Donating Member (14 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:18 PM
Response to Original message
17. 270%
Hi, Electoral College!
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Jackeens Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:19 PM
Original message
LOL!
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ObamaKerryDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:18 PM
Response to Original message
18. 95%
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BlooInBloo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:18 PM
Original message
I can only see it going one way - my way.
Of course how it will actually go, I can't say.
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ITsec Donating Member (477 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:18 PM
Response to Original message
19. 95%
Enough that if I were a betting man, I'd bet this as a done deal.
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Juan_de_la_Dem Donating Member (800 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:19 PM
Response to Original message
20. 95%
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Frosty1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:19 PM
Response to Original message
21. 99.9
:woohoo:
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bunkerbuster1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:19 PM
Response to Original message
22. 90.1%
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BlueState Donating Member (370 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:20 PM
Response to Original message
23. 98.9%
98.98% confident. 87% the Republicans can't steal it.
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PermanentRevolution Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:20 PM
Response to Original message
24. 82.36529840%
Edited on Tue Nov-04-08 01:21 PM by PermanentRevolution
Give or take.
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TexasObserver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:20 PM
Response to Original message
25. 99.3%
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GetTheRightVote Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:20 PM
Response to Original message
26. 50%/50%, I am afriad it will be stolen again but hopeful it will not be...
:kick:
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Blondiegrrl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:21 PM
Response to Original message
27. 95%
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RCinBrooklyn Donating Member (421 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:22 PM
Response to Original message
28. 100% - Yes We Can!
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nico818 Donating Member (108 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:22 PM
Response to Original message
29. 83.5%
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truthisfreedom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:22 PM
Response to Original message
30. 100% confident that i'll vote for Barack Obama!
That's all I can do, so that's all I'm thinking about.
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Gidney N Cloyd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:22 PM
Response to Original message
31. 80%
I'm haunted by Cheney's endorsement the other day.
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mokawanis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:22 PM
Response to Original message
32. 80%
That's the best I can do, but when it's all over of course I'll say I knew it all along. :)
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PBS Poll-435 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:23 PM
Response to Original message
33. A brazillion percent.
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TheCoxwain Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:23 PM
Response to Original message
34.  Limit Tan(x/2) as x-> pi such that x < pi
Edited on Tue Nov-04-08 01:27 PM by TheCoxwain
in other words - infinity
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DeadManInc Donating Member (844 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:26 PM
Response to Original message
35. a brazillion
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EastTennesseeDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:27 PM
Response to Original message
36. 99.9341105%
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OneSelf Donating Member (167 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:28 PM
Response to Original message
37. 66.7%
I'm pretty much convinced that we are going to pull it out, but I don't want to appear "overconfident".

:P
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NatBurner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 01:28 PM
Response to Original message
38. 90%
can't shake those Gore/Kerry jitters tho
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