NATIONAL POPULAR VOTE: Obama up by 5%, and growing as western states' (CA, WA, OR) results come in.
PA: Obama wins by ~10-11%.
VA: Obama wins by ~4%.
OH: Obama wins by ~3%.
FL: Obama wins by ~2-3%.
NC: Neck and neck, Obama wins?
IN: Neck and neck, Obama wins?
MO: Neck and neck, McCain wins?
MT: Neck and neck, McCain wins?
GA: McCain by <10% (OK, a little less close than it was being projected to have become recently).
NM, NV, CO: All Obama by solid margins.
I think the poll averages, as expressed on Real Clear Politics and Electoral-Vote.com, were almost perfect. Depending upon how IN/NC/MT/MO break, the EV counts are also very close (especially to what EV.com had picked yesterday).
http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/Maps/Nov04.htmlhttp://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=10Look at those web sites and either click the states or scroll over them, and compare the projected (poll average) result to the actual vote tallies. (
http://elections.nytimes.com/2008/results/president/map.html)
The polls immediately pre-election, when using a good average of all of them, were VERY ACCURATE!