Juche
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Wed Nov-05-08 09:52 AM
Original message |
The GOP is losing its grip on 2/3the south's electoral votes |
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From the end of the civil war until the civil rights movement the south was solidly democrat. Since the civil rights movement it has slowly moved into being solidly GOP. The 13 southern states (Texas, Oklahoma, Mississippi, Arkansas, Louisiana, Alabama, Georgia, Florida, SC, NC, Virginia, Tennessee, Kentucky) have a combined total of 168 EVs. Of those 55 are in Virginia, NC & Florida. Another 49 are in Georgia and Texas. Even though Texas wasn't a swing state in this election it is predicted to become one by 2016 due to the growing latino population. So the biggest southern states are either now or will soon be swing states.
So hell yes. If we break the GOP's hold on the south the only solidly south area left is the northwest, which combined has fewer EVs than NY state.
Of course alot can change over 10 or 20 years. But I hope the GOP remains the party of ignorance and bigotry because they are going to keep shrinking and shrinking.
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PVnRT
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Wed Nov-05-08 09:55 AM
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1. I think Kentucky could start swinging as well |
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A Democrat picked up a House seat, and McConnell very nearly lost. Obama did not lose by much. If we can start driving up turnout more in Lexington, Louisville, Paducah, and the surrounding areas, I think this could be a swing state in four years.
Call me crazy, but I said the same thing about Indiana two years ago.
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droidamus2
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Wed Nov-05-08 10:26 AM
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If you look at the exit polls (check out CNN where you can see the breakdown county by county) the support for the GOP in the South as well as across the country tends to skew toward the older population especially those over 65+. If the more progressive part of society and continue to convince the younger voters to vote for them it does not look good for the GOP in the future.
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Juche
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Wed Nov-05-08 11:32 AM
Response to Reply #2 |
4. I've heard other people talk about how the GOP lost the millenial generation |
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Edited on Wed Nov-05-08 11:32 AM by Juche
People born after 1977 already make up 1/4 the electorate, will be 1/3 by 2015. We voted Obama by a 2-1 marign and also gave the dems a 20 pt margin in 2006 midterms as well. If we take this bias with us throughout life it'll make it extremely hard for the GOP to survive politically, esp starting around the end of the next decade when we will all be middle aged and the elderly GOPers are dying off.
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KittyWampus
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Wed Nov-05-08 10:28 AM
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3. Texas, Georgia, Arizona- those three states I see turning blue sooner rather than later |
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but the states running down the spine and out from the Appalachians?
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DU
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Tue May 07th 2024, 08:36 AM
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