What poll was the most accurate?

[galaxy21]

I know Rasmussen got it right nationally (52-46), but what about the state polls?

[sclerite]

1. PEC, EV, 538

I think Princeton Election Commission was the closest and best - and also the best methodology using meta-analysis. The others were pretty good, too.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

8. Those Aren't Polls... Those Are Sites That Averarged Polls

~

[thepurpose]

2. FYI: CSPAN is discussing the polls right now.

[Kahuna]

3. Per CNN's site it's 53% to 46%.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/president/

[Zynx]

5. CNN/Opinion Research got it dead nuts then.

[Orrex]

4. Maria Sklodowska was very accurate. Fatally so, as it turned out.

Let's give it up for the two-time Nobel winner!

:applause::applause::applause::applause:

[Metta]

6. According to Rachel Maddow, who showed the numbers,

fivethirtyeight was within .1 of the presidential numbers and PEW was right behind him.

[DeepBlueDem]

7. Pew nationally 52-46

PPP poll was accurate in Florida 50-48, Virginia 52-46, North Carolina 50-49, Ohio 50-48, and Indiana 49-48


The PPP polls were not dead on but they missed a point on each all with Obama winning the final poll.


Pennsylvania: no one was close to the 55-44 margin

The king is fivethirtyeight.com