He is my only worry for Obama's Administration(from the Nation):Will Afghanistan Become Obama's War?

[tekisui]

One of the eerier reports on the deteriorating situation in Afghanistan appeared recently in the New York Times. Journalist John Burns visited the Russian ambassador in Kabul, Zamir N. Kabulov, who, back in the 1980s, when the Russians were the Americans in Afghanistan, and the Americans were launching the jihad that would eventually wend its way to the 9/11 attacks… well, you get the idea…

In any case, Kabulov was, in the years of the Soviet occupation, a KGB agent in the same city and, in the 1990s, an adviser to a UN peacekeeping envoy during the Afghan civil war that followed. "They've already repeated all of our mistakes," he told Burns, speaking of the American/NATO effort in the country. "Now," he added, "they're making mistakes of their own, ones for which we do not own the copyright." His list of Soviet-style American mistakes included: underestimating "the resistance," an over-reliance on air power, a failure to understand the Afghan "irritative allergy" to foreign occupation, "and thinking that because they swept into Kabul easily, the occupation would be untroubled." Of present occupiers who have stopped by to catch his sorry tale, Kabulov concludes world-wearily, "They listen, but they do not hear."

The question is: Does this experience really have to be repeated to the bitter end -- in the case of the Soviets, a calamitous defeat and retreat from Afghanistan, followed by years of civil war in that wrecked country, and finally the rise of the Pakistani-backed Taliban? The answer is: perhaps. There is no question that the advisers President Obama will be listening to are already exploring more complex strategies in Afghanistan, including possible negotiations with "reconcilable elements" of the Taliban. But these all remain military-plus strategies at whose heart lies the kind of troop surge that candidate Obama called for so vehemently -- and, given the fate of the previous 2007 U.S./NATO "surge" in Afghanistan, this, too, has failure written all over it.

more at link: http://www.thenation.com/blogs/notion/384064/will_afghanistan_become_obama_s_war?rel=hpbox

[blondeatlast]

1. that whole area is a powderkeg when you factor in India and Pakistan.

I'm reassured with the selection of Biden, though, who knows as much about the regional conflict as anyone. Let's see where diplomatic talks lead--I think those will yield far more positives than current policy.

That region cannot be ignored; it's a big national security risk.

[tekisui]

2. We are stuck between a rock and a hard place,

between Afghanistan and Pakistan. Squandering our resources in Iraq at the expense of a re-grouped and strengthen Taliban was the worst foreign policy action in a generation. We will dealing with it of decades to come.