BREAKING: McCain's Lead in MO Dwindling, See the Last Results Come In LIVE

[Khaotic]

As of yesterday the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reported ( http://www.stltoday.com/blogzone/political-fix/political-fix/2008/11/ongoing-missouri-president-contest-gets-even-tighter/ ) that McCain's lead over Obama had Dwindled down to 4,716.

The very last of the provisional ballots are coming in and every county in Missouri is required to report TODAY.

By my calculation McCain's lead is NOW DOWN TO: 4,393

Check out the returns as they come in at: http://www.sos.mo.gov/enrweb/statewideresults.asp?eid=256

Toward the bottom of the page you'll see election results as of ________. Refresh your browser to get the very latest.

As the bigger counties come in, watch McCain lead dwindle and dwindle.

I highly doubt MO will go blue, but it could get a hell of lot closer.

Today MO will be some kind of color.

K&R this puppy if you care.

[BuyingThyme]

1. Is this for the 2002 election?

[PBS Poll-435]

2. Kick!

Thanks for the links.

[MiniMe]

3. Purple. To be honest, it would be nice, but I am happy with "it was close"

The Senate races that haven't been decided are the interesting thing now. 1 more state won't mean much at this point.

[nichomachus]

4. So, once again

Ralph Nader, with 17,000 votes . . . . .you know the drill. At least this time, the knife in the back wasn't fatal.

[ayeshahaqqiqa]

5. It's a lot closer than I thought it would be

glad to K&R.

[Khaotic]

6. Thx!

Keep it comin'!

[liberal N proud]

7. Glad we are not waiting for this to determine the election

WOW!

[CTD]

8. Another state where Nader stole away more votes than McCain's margin

Bastard

[sellitman]

29. How many states did Nader fuck up?

I wonder?

[obiwan]

33. The bigger question is: As he gets older, is Ralph Nader becoming a bigger fuck-up?

[jenmito]

9. Ralph Nader strikes again-he got 17,797 votes so far! n/t

[robertpaulsen]

10. How close does it have to get before an automatic recount kicks in?

376 electoral votes would be nice!

[Khaotic]

13. I'm not sure ...

But I'm guessing that the Obama campaign would turn down the recount because insisting on it might look negative, especially once they attach the amount of taxpayers dollars to make it happen.

[RayOfHope]

16. MO doesn't do automatic recounts n/t

[BluegrassDem]

11. I'm sorry, but I kinda hope McCain wins Missouri

Just so they can stop with that stupid bellweather shit. Missouri is getting redder and redder by the year. Now we can stop here that crap that whoever Missouri votes for wins the election.

[MadHound]

34. Actually that's not true

First off, we elected a Dem governor this year. In '06 we elected Clarie McCaskill, you know, one of Obama's early backers. And I'm sorry that you dislike that "stupid bellweather shit" but you know what, given our demographic makeup, it isn't that surprising, and something that we here in the state are rather proud of. Sounds to me you're just a bit jealous:shrug:

Oh, and check out this <http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2008/11/05/us/politics/20081104_ELECTION_RECAP.html>

Hmm, looks like Missouri actually went more blue in '08 than '04. Guess that shoots your contention that "Missouri is getting redder and redder by the year." all to hell.

[Vickers]

35. "they can stop with that stupid bellweather shit"

Yes! I'm so tired of that smug crap.

[Terran]

36. It's "bellwether", not "bellweather"And as a Missourian

I agree, we deserve to lose that assanine distinction.

[CakeGrrl]

12. Just wondering...what's taking them so long? The other 49 are in.

Same with the AK Senate ballots...what's up?

[Khaotic]

18. The Post Dispatch Goes Into It

But in short, it's because of all the provisional ballots that have to be verified.

Each one has to be checked to make sure that the person who cast it is registered.

There were more than 7,000 provisional ballots statewide in Missouri.

[steve2470]

14. k and r nt

[Soylent Brice]

15. kickety kick for exposure

damn that would be sweet if he took MO

[Jackeens]

17. Is 49.4% to 49.3% the final official result?

Precincts Reporting 3533 of 3533

John McCain, Sarah Palin REP 1,444,911 49.4%
Barack Obama, Joe Biden DEM 1,440,518 49.3%

[Khaotic]

19. No

It has said Precincts Reporting 3533 of 3533 since Nov. 4, but the numbers continue to change.

The precincts have reported, but the information continues to change.

Each county is supposed to have their final results in by COB today.

[Khaotic]

20. Update

The site was just updated again.

McCain's lead was slightly tweaked, it's now down to 4,385.

I don't know if there are any outstanding big counties that are going to get added in at the last minute.

I figure that once tallies are totally official and the news breaks the MO state wire will have it: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/fronts/MISSOURILATEST?SITE=AP

[Khaotic]

21. End of Day Results Coming In

A lot of shifting ... difference is now 4,400.

[Brooklyns_Finest]

22. I would rather Obama lose Missouri

Then we don't have to hear the whole bellwether nonsense again.

[Khaotic]

23. I don't know

For those of us that are from Missouri, or who live there now, it would be great to see the state go blue.

I don't see it happening, but it would be great.

[Tribetime]

24. not me I want 376

[Born_A_Truman]

32. I had 375 O 163 M on the DU Challenge

Forgot about the Nebraska EV split. I had Missouri going for Obama.

[City Lights]

25. K&R nt

[kath]

26. McC lead now at 4404

[Khaotic]

27. Update: Election results as of 4:15:54 on 11/18/2008

McCain lead down to 4,346.

[PBS Poll-435]

28. Wow. MO lurves the Carnahans

So do I.

[kikiek]

30. It appears a constitutional amendment about the english language was on it. I bet if it hadn't been

Obama would have won. There was a reason it was put on this election. I am tired of that game.

[tanyev]

31. Kick.

[MANative]

37. As of 12:50 ET Wednesday - down to 3636 differential....

WOW!

[Khaotic]

41. Excellent

Definately tighter, but I have to wonder if it's going to get much tighter than that.

It was said that some results would still be trickling in today, but I'm wondering if most are calculated by now.

There were under 8,000 provisional ballots that could swing the vote.

That's the only thing that could change the vote because it's not like this is a recount.

Even if it gets close enough to trigger a recount, I don't think the Obama campaign will seek it.

[MANative]

43. You're probably right about that. It really wouldn't

serve any practical purpose to ask for a recount. It's just nice to see a substantial shift toward Dems in MO!

[4_Legs_Good]

38. I'd love to see Obama beat Clinton's EV count from 1992

Buuuut I'd also love to see Missouri lose it's bellwether status, so we can all stop being so rediculously focused on it.

Tough call.

David

[changemonger]

39. only political junkies care about Missouri at this point

n.t

[Milspec]

40. Well that would

be most people here! :hi:

[Khaotic]

42. The Math

It looks like Missouri has wrapped it up.

I haven't heard anything official yet, but here are the numbers.

On election night from Missouri:

Obama: 1,436,745
McCain: 1,442,613
Total: 2,879,358

Election results as of 1:10:57 (CST) on 11/19/2008

Obama: 1,442,145
McCain: 1,445,781
Total: 2,887,926

====================

2,887,926 minus 2,879,358 equals 8,568

The election night stats are from http://www.stltoday.com/mds/news/html/1926

Now, while we know that there were a number of addition errors that made a difference in the numbers, we also know that there weren't too many more than 7,000 provisional ballots.

So the difference of 8,568 between election night and today is probably about it.

With that in McCain's lead is 3,636. Pretty tight, but it keeps Missouri red, red, red.

So much for ...

[Khaotic]

44. Only ...

1,188 outstanding provisional ballots left to come in, which should trickle in throughout the day.

McCain's lead will probably shrink further, but even 100% of those provisional ballots can't catch Obama up.

Missouri will soon officially become "irrelevant."

[Khaotic]

45. AP: McCain wins Missouri in close race against Obama

Nov 19, 3:50 PM EST
By DAVID A. LIEB
Associated Press Writer
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/M/MISSOURI_PRESIDENT_MOOL-?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2008-11-19-15-50-37

JEFFERSON CITY, Mo. (AP) -- Republican John McCain has defeated Democratic President-elect Barack Obama in Missouri - the last state to be decided in the 2008 presidential election.

McCain's narrow victory over Obama breaks a bellwether streak in which Missourians had picked the winning presidential candidate in every election since 1956.

With all jurisdictions reporting complete but unofficial results, McCain led Obama by 3,632 votes Wednesday out of more than 2.9 million cast - a margin of 0.12 percentage points.

Both men spent considerable resources trying to win Missouri, a state that Obama ultimately did not need for his national victory.

Obama won 365 electoral votes. Missouri's 11 electoral votes will give McCain 173.

Secretary of State Robin Carnahan has until Dec. 9 to officially certify the results.

But it's unlikely the vote totals will change significantly because no more ballots can be counted. Rather, the secretary of state's office now will double-check the figures supplied by local officials to make sure no numbers are missing and that the precinct-by-precinct votes have been correctly added.

Once the results are certified, Obama's campaign would have the option under Missouri law of seeking a re-count because McCain's victory margin is less than 1 percentage point.

A telephone message left with the Obama campaign was not immediately returned Wednesday.

Missouri's presidential election was its closest since 1908, when Republican William Howard Taft defeated Democrat William Jennings Bryan by 449 votes out of 716,788 cast - a margin of 0.06 percentage points.

Until this year, Missouri had cast its electoral votes for the losing presidential candidate only once in the past century, and that also was a close election. In 1956, Democrat Adlai Stevenson won Missouri over Republican President Dwight Eisenhower by 3,984 votes out of more than 1.8 million cast - a 0.22 percentage point margin.

[BlooInBloo]

46. Er... we lost.