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Al Franken is on to pace to end up winning the recount by 13 votes

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Seen the light Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-19-08 09:45 PM
Original message
Al Franken is on to pace to end up winning the recount by 13 votes
Yes, 13 votes.

18% of the votes counted have netted Franken 41 votes. 41 * (100/18) = 228 total net votes for Franken in the recount. 228-41=187. Coleman leads by 174 votes, making Franken the winner by 13 votes.

I'm no mathematician, so this formula could be wrong. And obviously, the rest of the votes probably won't go for Franken at this exact same pace.

But WOW at how tight this is going to end up.
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rockymountaindem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-19-08 09:46 PM
Response to Original message
1. 18% of the votes or 18% of the counties?
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Seen the light Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-19-08 09:47 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. According to the Star Trib website, 18% of the votes
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SpiralHawk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-19-08 09:49 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. Whoa Nelliebelle - this could be so sweet
eom
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itsrobert Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-19-08 09:48 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. website says votes
thanks
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rurallib Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-19-08 09:51 PM
Response to Original message
5. I hope Norm accepts this loss graciously.
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IsItJustMe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-19-08 10:01 PM
Response to Original message
6. I am no mathemitician either, but what you just did there is called extrapolation.
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debatepro Donating Member (683 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-19-08 10:04 PM
Response to Original message
7. Nate Silver cautions against this...
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
"For any number of reasons, however, the results reported thus far may not be indicative of future trends."
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