538.com now projecting a 98.9% chance of an Obama victory in November

[Bucky]

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com C'mon, guys! Pick a winner already!

[Ozma]

1. Aint Probability and Statistics wonderful? n/t

[BlooInBloo]

10. Even better: 100% probability of an event happening doesn't mean that it's guaranteed.

:rofl:

(Measure-theoretic explanation skipped)

[baldguy]

2. When does the Electoral College meet?

[Clio the Leo]

3. December 5th? Or maybe it's the 15th? Or maybe it's the 12th....

... it's some time in Dec. that much I'm sure of.

(Sorry, I'm being lazy)

[Bucky]

4. You got it right with first guess--it's the 5th. This is nature's way of telling you...

to be more lazy and trust your first instincts.

[Clio the Leo]

6. Yep, it's like taking the SAT. LOL NT

[baldguy]

8. And what are the chances they'll vote for McCain? 1.1% maybe?

[Clio the Leo]

9. Well, some of them HAVE to vote for McCain.....

.... like the electors from AZ for example.

[Bicoastal]

7. Yet another College that's going to leave Sarah Palin behind.

Tsk tsk tsk.

[nevergiveup]

5. I worry about the Electoral College

What if the electors are all white.....could there be a Bradley effect? :sarcasm:

[Bucky]

11. You have earned your username!

;)

[Historic NY]

12. I'll be glad when Nov is over and we know for sure...you betcha.