murray hill farm
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Tue Sep-14-04 08:35 PM
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In polls, what is a "likely voter"? |
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how is that determined? Who determines it? What is it?
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ScreamingMeemie
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Tue Sep-14-04 08:36 PM
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1. somebody who answers the phone. |
murray hill farm
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Tue Sep-14-04 08:41 PM
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3. hahahhaha! Well, i see that as a poll sub unit! |
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and it seems such an unlikely category to determine..ha! Guess it may be just another way to have a poll say what the poller wants the poll to reflect.
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realisticphish
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Tue Sep-14-04 08:39 PM
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who works on *'s staff (which makes him dropping in polls even MORE amusing)
:hippie: The Incorrigible Democrat
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tritsofme
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Tue Sep-14-04 08:42 PM
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4. This is what Gallup says about their Likely Voter model |
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Gallup tries to avoid the lack-of-interest problem by specifying that 55% of its sample (which corresponds with a 55% projected turnout in the election) will be considered likely voters. Gallup asks each respondent seven LV screening questions, and gives each person an LV score of 0 to 7. The top 55% are classified as likely voters. This classification works even if interest is low early in the year, because low-interest respondents are considered likely voters as long as they are in the top 55% of the sample on the overall LV scale.
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SheilaT
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Tue Sep-14-04 09:34 PM
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5. Having voted in a previous |
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election is a component in being a likely voter. Which means no first time voters are counted. I have no idea what percentage of voters are first timers in any election.
I have read that those who don't vote are substantially different from those who do: poorer and more likely to identify as Democrats.
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Mon May 06th 2024, 10:18 AM
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