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Joe Biden: What You Might Not Know About the Recovery

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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-26-09 07:54 AM
Original message
Joe Biden: What You Might Not Know About the Recovery
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/26/opinion/26biden.html?_r=1

What You Might Not Know About the Recovery

By JOE BIDEN
Published: July 26, 2009

Washington

SIX months ago, when President Obama and I took office, we were confronted with an economic crisis unparalleled in our lifetime. The nation was hemorrhaging more than 700,000 jobs a month, the housing market was in free fall, and the fate of the financial system hung in the balance. Credible economists were handicapping the probability of a depression. The actions we took — passing the Recovery Act, stabilizing the banking system, pressing to get credit flowing again and helping responsible homeowners — brought us back from the precipice. Monthly job losses are down, financial markets are improved, and economic contraction has slowed. We still have a long way to go, but clearly we are closer to recovery today than we were in January. The Recovery Act has been critical to that progress.

Notwithstanding this progress, the nature of the Recovery Act remains misunderstood by many, and misconstrued by others: critics have suggested that the entire $787 billion is being spent on pet programs. As the person leading the administration’s efforts to put the Recovery Act into effect, I want to set the record straight.

The single largest part of the Recovery Act — more than one-third of it — is tax cuts: 95 percent of working Americans have seen their taxes go down as a result of the act. The second-largest part — just under a third — is direct relief to state governments and individuals. The money is allowing state governments to avoid laying off teachers (14,000 in New York City alone), firefighters and police officers and preventing states’ budget gaps from growing wider.

And those hardest hit by the recession are getting extended unemployment insurance, health coverage and other help to get through these tough times. The bottom line is that two-thirds of the Recovery Act doesn’t finance “programs,” but goes directly to tax cuts, state governments and families in need, without red tape or delays.

As for the final third, the act is financing the largest investment in roads since the creation of the Interstate highway system; construction projects at military bases, ports, bridges and tunnels; long overdue Superfund cleanups; the creation of clean energy jobs of the future; improvements in badly outdated rural water systems; upgrades to overtaxed mass transit and rail systems; and much more. These investments create jobs today — and support economic growth for years to come. Far from being a negative, the wide array of these investments is needed given the incredible diversity of the American economy.

Projects are being chosen without earmarks or political consideration, and many contracts have come in under budget. More than 30,000 projects have been approved, and thousands are already posted on recovery.gov — providing a high level of transparency and accountability. Taxpayers should know that we have not hesitated to reject proposals that have failed to meet our merit-based standards.

The care with which we are carrying out the provisions of the Recovery Act has led some people to ask whether we are moving too slowly. But the act was intended to provide steady support for our economy over an extended period — not a jolt that would last only a few months. Instead of quick-hit rebates, we are giving Americans a tax cut in each paycheck. Instead of pumping out all the state aid immediately, we are spreading it over the two years that it will be needed. Road projects, energy projects and construction projects are being started as soon as they pass review, contracts are competitively bid and reporting systems are in place.

Even with such care being taken, we have already committed more than one-fourth of the Recovery Act’s total funds, and we are on track to meet the deadline set when the act was passed in February — spending 70 percent by the end of September 2010.

The Recovery Act is not the cure for all our economic ills — no single piece of legislation could be. But how many government initiatives can point to both large numbers of projects coming in under budget and a Government Accountability Office finding that we are ahead of schedule in key areas?

It is true that the act’s effort to address multiple problems simultaneously makes it an easy target for second-guessing. Critics have argued that the tax cuts are too small (or too large); that too much (or not enough) aid is going to rural areas; that too little (or too much) is being spent on roads. Recently, some have even criticized the act for helping support soup kitchens and food banks.

But the way I see it, our balanced approach recognizes that there is no silver bullet, no single thing, that can address the many and complex needs of America’s vast economy. We need relief, recovery and reinvestment to cope with our multifaceted crisis — and only 159 days after it was signed by President Obama, the Recovery Act is already at work providing all three.

Joe Biden is the vice president of the United States.
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uponit7771 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-26-09 08:30 AM
Response to Original message
1. This has officially been the 3rd longest period of job loss in US history after Nov it will be 2nd
...longest period of job loss.

I pray the Obama economic team factored the effect of that number of people without jobs in their economic equation.

The first pass with the stimulus doesn't sound like it factored in said effect
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AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-26-09 08:32 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. The first stimulus factored this
It was never really a stimulus bill, it was a keep the states from declaring bankruptcy bill.
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AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-26-09 08:33 AM
Response to Original message
3. I wish they'd be more honest
Edited on Sun Jul-26-09 08:34 AM by AllentownJake
The stimulus bill was never about stimulating. Most of the bill was for shoring up the states to prevent a total failure of the states.

The tax cuts were put in there to appease two moderate GOP Senators from Maine and one political animal from PA.
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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-26-09 09:15 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. How can you come to that conclusion when most of the stim hasn't
been spent yet? And tell the people who are now working because of the stimulus that it was never about that.
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paulk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-26-09 01:51 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. what are you going to "tell" the additional 3 million people
who have lost their jobs since Obama took office?

Just wait until 2010, when all that money finally kicks in?
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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-26-09 07:12 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. Who do you think they will blame their unemployment on?
A man who took office in late January, or the guy/admin who created this mess in the first place?
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paulk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-26-09 07:17 PM
Response to Reply #9
11. well, if Obama's declining poll numbers are any indication
they'll blame him...

Don't underestimate the stupidity of the voting public - which is why the failure of the stimulus plan to provide jobs should be a concern for the Democratic Party. The plan was/is flawed, and "stay the course, things will get better" isn't going to work as PR.
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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-26-09 07:22 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. See post #5, look around DU, google. There's been lots of
positive stories about the stim funds hitting where they need to, the ones that are being used. Hell, google Jindall and Cantor.

But you're right about the stupidity of many-I witnessed that in 2004, and see it daily.
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paulk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-26-09 07:35 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. I'll believe the stories when the unemployment numbers
begin to drop - and when I see some impact in my own life and in the lives of the people I know.

Right now it's mostly just words, and words don't pay my mortgage.

And that is going to be the attitude of a lot of other people in my shoes -

now, I'll still vote for Democrats -

but, unless things get turned around, there are a lot of other people out there who won't...

which is why the Obama administration needs to be putting a lot more effort into creating jobs, instead of making excuses like Biden is.

IMO.
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mkultra Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-27-09 11:07 AM
Response to Reply #13
16. Anyone who thinks this economic downturn is Obama's fault is stupid
period.
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paulk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-27-09 04:49 PM
Response to Reply #16
20. we live in a country full of stupid people, then
how else to explain the election of Reagan, Bush, and Son of Bush?
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mkultra Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-27-09 05:53 PM
Response to Reply #20
22. well, we do.
whats your point.
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mkultra Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-27-09 11:06 AM
Response to Reply #11
15. the plan is working almost exactly as predicted
the only thing they have missed on so far is the unemployment numbers by 1.5%. GDP is expected to flatten this year with jobs following in 10. That's as fast as it gets paulk. Dumping to much money would create inflation that only hurts the poor.
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paulk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-27-09 04:50 PM
Response to Reply #15
21. not having a job also hurts the poor...
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mkultra Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-27-09 05:54 PM
Response to Reply #21
23. and what is your point?
seems like you think you have a real winner in the chamber so fire away.
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paulk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-27-09 06:22 PM
Response to Reply #23
24. that if this plan is working "exactly as predicted"
then the plan sucks and Obama and Co need to pull their heads out of their asses and fix it before it costs the Dem Party in the next election.
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mkultra Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-27-09 09:58 PM
Response to Reply #24
25. i see.
well, this is the plan and frankly, imho, its the best plan possible considering the crappy circumstances. We are in serious trouble which is why Obama focused almost solely on the stimulus plans in the early months. Liquidity is back in the banking sector. Interest rates are low and will stay that way for many more months.

Like most things with value, they are easy to destroy and take time to fix. This is reality. It sucks.

Do you have some kind of common sense rhetoric that you think is being missed here?
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paulk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-27-09 11:58 PM
Response to Reply #25
26. I don't think the plan was
"the best plan possible". I'm not alone in thinking this, as I'm sure you're aware - Obama wanted bipartisan support and conceded way too much to get those few Republican votes in the Senate. His inexperience really showed - hopefully he learned his lesson and will apply it in the future.

The notion that things are OK and all we have to do is wait for things to get better is not going to fly. More action - immediate action needs to be taken. Low interest rates don't mean shit if you can't get a loan because you don't have a job. They don't mean anything if your line of credit has been cut off because "there's been a decline in the value of properties in your neighborhood". All the banking sector liquidity in the world is meaningless in the face of the actions these banks are actually taking.

There is very little to nothing in the stimulus to help self employed people - we're at the bottom of the trickle down slope, and Obama's plan was pure trickle down economics.

I'm not engaging in rhetoric when I talk about losing my home and/or everything else I've worked for these last 53 years. It's all very real, and not just for me - I have several friends in the same position, people involved in trades that are not being touched by the stimulus package. We can't afford to wait until 2010 - we are a year into this already and are running out of options.
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mkultra Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-28-09 01:06 AM
Response to Reply #26
27. well, you have my deepest sympathies
and i hope that you can hang on. I saw the other plans and none of them where either faster or better. The economy is like a big boat, it takes a long time to turn.

You circumstances are real but your expectations are not. Jobs growth will not be seen again until the end of this year. If you don't understand how liquidity effects the economy, then i can understand why your upset. The fact remains that this slowdown was caused by a sub prime housing bubble that turned into a credit meltdown. Housing devaluation didn't cause real job loss, it was the credit freeze that did.

A lot of people that have alternate ideas don't really seem to understand the nature of the slide. They want to restructure our economy so that this kind of thing doesn't happen. That's fine, but still wont get you out of the current hole. our economy is expanded using monetary expansion policies provided by modern banking. If you don't like that system, then adjust to the current circumstances because this is what our economy looks like when you strip it of banking.

Here's the time line:
Bush tells fannie and freddie to ramp up the sale of sub prime CDO's
This frees up more sub prime money for sub prime lending.
sub prime brokers get greedy and get as many sub prime (ARM) loans on the books as they can ($$$ Profit)
Bernanke, afraid of depression, takes steps to cool the economy by raising overnight lending rate over and over again.
ARM rates rise
sub prime borrowers start to default due to these high payments.
banks that own these loans start to see red ink making it impossible for them to loan new money.
Companies that rely on short term commercial lending cant get any money and are forced to cut expenses instead.
people cant get loans to buy big ticket items.
people get laid off and production slows.
the recessionary cycle begins.



Its the banks that need to restart. The economy was on the skids probably long before you saw it hit. Your just several cycles behind the movement.




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mkultra Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-27-09 11:04 AM
Response to Reply #7
14. i woudl tell them to be sure not to vote republican
if they didnt, work harder against the republicans. I would also tell them to hold on and here is some money, but hey, that's me.
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Frustratedlady Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-26-09 09:56 AM
Response to Original message
5. We have a ton of projects in progress and the school systems are gearing up
for their fall opening. Teachers won't be laid off and equipment is being purchased.

This wouldn't have been the picture under McCain. Certainly wasn't the picture under Bush.

Give these guys a chance to make things work. We have a "drive-thru" mentality...want everything NOW...and it doesn't work that way unless you are ordering a Big Mac.

Think back to what this country was like when Obama/Biden took over. They've been in office what...7 months?

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Muttocracy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-26-09 06:35 PM
Response to Reply #5
8. I was thinking about McCain/Palin being in power now
and I couldn't even really picture it.
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PatSeg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-27-09 01:04 PM
Response to Reply #8
17. That always has a sobering effect, doesn't it?
I knew we had a long, hard road ahead of us when Obama took office. I also knew things would not improve fast enough for many. I'm sure there will be mistakes, but at least we know there is competence and intelligence back in the White House. There are no guarantees, but with this administration there are more realistic possibilities of success.



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Wednesdays Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-26-09 01:38 PM
Response to Original message
6. K&R
:kick:
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Cha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-26-09 07:15 PM
Response to Original message
10. Yay, VP Biden!
Thank you and thanks babylonsis for the article!
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PatSeg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-27-09 01:06 PM
Response to Original message
18. Too late to rec
but definitely deserves a "kick"!
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-27-09 01:37 PM
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