Scientists: Obama's election may reduce terrorism
Will Barack Obama's election make terrorists less eager to strike? A data analysis released Thursday suggests it could make a difference. In the Science magazine study, researchers Alan Krueger of Princeton and Jitka Maleèková of the Economics Institute of the Czech Academy of Science in Prague looked at terrorist attacks in nine countries, including the U.S., and their relation to public opinion in India, Middle Eastern and North African nations. "We found a greater incidence of international terrorism when people of one country disapprove of the leadership of another country," concludes the study.
The study relied on National Counter Terrorism Center data and Gallup World Poll results. "The United States and United Kingdom had the highest average disapproval rating across all countries (71% for both countries), whereas Japan had the lowest rating (41%)," says the study. Study statistics reveal a 20% jump in disapproval rates was linked to a 93% increase in terrorist attacks from 2004 to 2008. While the results can't explain individual terrorist motivations, say the authors, "public opinion appears to provide a useful indicator of terrorist activity."
"I think that this analysis is important and provides a piece of the puzzle," says intelligence expert Paul Pillar of Georgetown University. "The main thing is that it argues against views expressed by former President Bush and others that terrorists hate us because of our freedom and values, not our policies. This research refutes that."
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http://blogs.usatoday.com/sciencefair/2009/09/obama-may-discourage-terrorism.html