ABC has a point bounce for bush after the debate?

[FatSlob]

What the hell? Must be a sampling anomoly. Perhaps the shrubbery's poor performance and the Senator's great job have not yet been made public enough? I'm baffled.
http://www.abcnews.go.com/sections/politics/Vote2004/debate_poll_040930.html

[Doosh]

1. kerry up a point too

weird, i would expect it to be at least tied by now

[Shopaholic]

2. Ignore that poll--the margin of error

was 4.5%!

[Zynx]

3. The idea you would base any conclusions off a flash poll is shocking.

[Kierkegaard]

6. And even more shocking that the debate ended less than 24 hours ago.

WAY too early to see the results of the debate in the election polling.

[nothingshocksmeanymore]

4. "Views were more evenly distributed in the South and Midwest"

BAD FOR BUSH!!!!

[lancdem]

5. Kerry also went up a point, too

It takes awhile for polls to reflect change. Right now, I'm just glad to see Dems energized!

[DeaconBlues]

7. You can't take a poll at 11 p.m. on one night and believe it is

representative. How many people are still awake and answering this phone?

Anyone who has taken Statistics 101 knows what ABC is doing here is not a simple mistake - it is willfully misleading. We won't know what kind of bounce Kerry gets for another couple of days.

[geek tragedy]

9. Doesn't count East Coasters.

NY, NJ, PA, MI, MA, etc etc.

[sonicx]

10. yes, not to be prejudice but

older viewers might have gone to bed right after the debate. :)

[sonicx]

8. a flash poll of 531 people

with a 4.5 margin of error.

and

<<Among debate viewers, 35 percent identified themselves as Democrats, 35 percent as Republicans and 24 percent as independents.>>

in 2000 and 1996, dems out voted repubs by 4 and 3 percent. Will that be similar this year? probably.

[FatSlob]

11. Sorry folks, didn't think it through...I kind of did the panic thing there

I feel better now.

[sonicx]

12. don't worry. the whore media wants instant results

no matter how sloppy. :)