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ButterflyBlood Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:57 PM
Original message
Poll question: how will your city vote?
I'm betting on 55-60 Kerry. In 2000 Gore won here but got less than 50% because Naitor stole around 7%. He won't be getting that much this time. Also in 2000 * got around 42% here, I doubt he'll top 40% this time.
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terrya Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 04:58 PM
Response to Original message
1. This is easy. Chicago will vote over 70% Kerry.
I would guess 85% Kerry.
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NYC Liberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 05:00 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Guessing around the same in NYC.
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Placebo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 05:05 PM
Response to Reply #1
9. Yup, we sure will.
I don't think chicago would go republican if jesus himself came down and instructed us all to vote bush.
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PROGRESSIVE1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 05:01 PM
Response to Original message
3. My locallity will vote for Bushler by about 3-4%.
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5thGenDemocrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 05:01 PM
Response to Original message
4. This is Saginaw -- the city never votes Republican, ever
Seventy percent would be a close race here. And Nader would be stuffed into a Corvair are crushed over at Rifkin Scrap Metals if he ever showed his ugly face here.
John
I've got a Dem State Rep, Dem US Rep, two Dem US Senators and a Dem governor. And my Repug State Senator is term-limited and gone in November. Life is good in Saginaw.
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Mz Pip Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 05:01 PM
Response to Original message
5. I live in
Barbara Lee's congressional district. My cat could run as a Democrat and win.

MzPip
:dem:
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FlaIndie Donating Member (266 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 05:03 PM
Response to Original message
6. A blue county here
Gore won Alachua County with near 60% last time out. Kerry might get more.
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Cooley Hurd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 05:03 PM
Response to Original message
7. 80%+for *- Welcome to Saratoga Springs, NY: home of Thurston Howell III...
Edited on Sat Oct-02-04 05:04 PM by alg0912

...and the omnipresent "Lovey."
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jono Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 05:04 PM
Response to Original message
8. Good ol' liberal Seattle
should give Kerry at least 70%. As for the rest of the state, the margins will be much closer, but Kerry will still take it.
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sr_pacifica Donating Member (775 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 05:06 PM
Response to Original message
10. I live in a city with a majority of Latinos
Edited on Sat Oct-02-04 05:09 PM by sr_pacifica
I'm taking a guess that Kerry will get a majority of the votes, but I'm thinking that the the social conservatism of the Republicans might sway some Latinos to vote Republican, but I still believe Kerry will be the winner here. I think it will be 60% Kerry. (Much of the non-latino population is conservative which brings the percentage down.)

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durablend Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 05:10 PM
Response to Reply #10
13. Overwhelmingly *
Unfortunately.

Too much Kool-Aid in the water. Luckily the rest of the state (PA) should be able to override this part of the state and shut * down.
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Cozmosis Donating Member (212 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 05:09 PM
Response to Original message
11. Baltimore City is...
overwhelmingly democratic. The county leans fairly conservative.
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jpgray Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 05:10 PM
Response to Original message
12. St. Paul will go solidly Kerry (nt)
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ButterflyBlood Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 05:11 PM
Response to Reply #12
14. hopefully you'll be recalling your fucking idiot mayor too!
after that fuck and Coleman, hopefully you can get a real DFLer in this time!
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jpgray Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 05:14 PM
Response to Reply #14
17. We hates them both
Edited on Sat Oct-02-04 05:14 PM by jpgray
Especially that wretch Coleman. He's a damn husk--a spear-carrier without a single original thought in his pathetic braincase.
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ZombieNixon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 05:11 PM
Response to Original message
15. Welcome to beautiful downtown Farmington, NM (40000 ppl)
On your right, you will see the local Republican party headquarters! Look how well funded those guys are, so sleek and well organized.

Farmington will vote 60-70% *, however, we're only half and hour away from Shiprock, NM on the Navajo Nation, which voted 82-18 Gore in '00. San Juan county is prime * territory in a fairly Democratic state, but if we can get the Navajo vote out, I think we might actually carry San Juan county. :-)
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cheshire Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 05:18 PM
Response to Reply #15
20. I hope they kick butt.
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tilsammans Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 05:12 PM
Response to Original message
16. Unfortunately . . .
I had to pick 60 - 70 percent for Shrub. Actually, his numbers will probably be even bigger than that in this county.

:cry:

But I believe that K/E will do well overall in NJ, regardless of what the pollsters are saying now.

:kick:
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goodhue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 05:16 PM
Response to Original message
18. Minneapolis should crack 70% this time around
Edited on Sat Oct-02-04 05:54 PM by goodhue
In 2000 it was:
66.21% Gore
22.27% Bush
10.42% Nader
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no name no slogan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 06:55 PM
Response to Reply #18
30. Agreed. Kerry will get 70% if not 75%
I bet Nader won't even get 5% this year. I have seen a grand total of ONE Nader sign in Minneapolis-- a far cry from the dozens I saw in 2000.

And no Cobb signs either, but I don't think he's really contesting MN this year, because we're a swing state.
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cheshire Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 05:17 PM
Response to Original message
19. I have no idea, they don't put it in the paper and many new people
from the Bay area. They tend to be Dems. Most here Pubs. It would be nice to see a change. I'm not sure I will know.
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dave123williams Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 05:28 PM
Response to Original message
21. Santa Monica, CA - 95% Kerry, I'm sure.
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LibDemAlways Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 05:33 PM
Response to Original message
22. I live in a small suburban
community about 30 miles from downtown LA. It's pretty evenly divided, but usually goes Dem by a small margin.
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NWHarkness Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 05:52 PM
Response to Original message
23. Ferndale Michigan- I predict 75% Kerry
Gore won the city about 65-35. Our canvassing and phonebanking shows Kerry is running better than that here.

The GLBT population has grown since 2000, and we have a very active Green Party presence, which is mostly backing Kerry this year.
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0rganism Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 06:02 PM
Response to Original message
24. Portland is going to go hard Kerry, can't say the same for the burbs
Multnomah county is Kerry's. He would have to go on a GTA3-style shooting rampage in Pioneer Square to lose Portland.

Washington county seems to be leaning Kerry, but I do have some concerns about Rep. Wu's re-election.

Clackamas is a confused mass of suburban rednecks and mall rats. It depends entirely on which voters misplace their mail-in ballots before Nov. 2.
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Arugula Latte Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 08:02 PM
Response to Reply #24
34. I guessed 60 to 70 percent for Kerry in Portland.
I hope it's closer to 70 than 60.

BTW, even if Kerry went on that shooting rampage and took a dump on stage at the next debate, I'd still vote for him over Bush.
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Lithos Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 06:04 PM
Response to Original message
25. Am in a suburb of Dallas
*sigh*

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doni_georgia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 06:21 PM
Response to Original message
26. City of Atlanta will be well over 70% for Kerry,
South Fulton suburbs, Dekalb and Clayton counties surrounding Atlanta will go for Kerry. The rest of the burbs will go bigtime for Dumbya.
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Cattledog Donating Member (695 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 06:44 PM
Response to Reply #26
28. Dekalb Co 70% Kerry
And Mckinney in a landslide!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:kick:
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Zero Division Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 06:34 PM
Response to Original message
27. I've just started noticing that my suburban town of 30k is Bushland by far
Just went to a meeting where we planned out our GOTV effort for registered Dems. We all agreed upon the terrifying preponderance of Bush signs in my city. I think there are way too many "I-got-mines" in this town. The town will go to Bush by at least 60-40, but the county may very well go to Kerry by about 55-45.
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Piperay Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 06:49 PM
Response to Original message
29. CONservative area of Los Angeles Co.
will just barely go for * . :puke:
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demzilla Donating Member (300 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 07:40 PM
Response to Original message
31. Kerry will win red rock country Arizona
Sedona is a small Arizona resort town filled with wealthy retirees, artists, and New Age types. Republicans hold a slight registration edge but Kerry will carry Sedona with something between 50% and 55%. A lot of moderate repugs are disgusted with Bush. One two doors down has a Kerry placard in his window. Another changed parties and is canvassing for KE in our precinct.

I think there's a decent chance the state could go for Kerry if he wins the next two debates. Our national Kerry campaign liaison says we have one of the best field organizations in the country. Odds are slightly against us now, but as Kerry raises the boats everywhere, he'll raise them here, too.
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newyawker99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 08:50 PM
Response to Reply #31
37. Hi demzilla!!
Welcome to DU!! :toast:
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BlueNomad Donating Member (494 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 07:44 PM
Response to Original message
32. Haha in DC
I expect up to 83-85%...some defection of educated moderate republicans (David Catania etc)who are hideously embarrassed by BUSH and then our normal liberal base. Bush is not popular here.
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bigwillq Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 07:47 PM
Response to Original message
33. 70% or more for KERRY
I live in a small town of about 20,000 just north of New Haven here in Connecticut.

It always goes DEM!
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DemFromMem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 08:06 PM
Response to Original message
35. I'm in the deep blue section of Tennessee
We're probably a red state this year, but Memphis is the city where the Dems know they'll score big. If Memphis turns out in big numbers, that usually bodes well for our party. Tennessee gets progressively more red as you go from west to east.
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indie_voter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-02-04 08:08 PM
Response to Original message
36. San Francisco, 95% Kerry? n/t
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