The REAL Story: Bush Job Approval - Newsweek:46 (-2) ; CNN/Gallup:50 (-2)

[TruthIsAll]

Along with the horserace, Newsweek and CNN also polled for Bush Job Approval.

These are extremely KEY numbers.

He's down 2% from each of the prior polls. This is HUGE. Watch these approval numbers come in over the next week or so, along with the horserace. These numbers are overlooked in the hoopla, but they represent a tangible, proven gauge on how the election will go.

NO pResident EVER got re-selected with approval below 50%.



Want more of this?
http://www.geocities.com/electionmodel/

[Awsi Dooger]

1. Very true, incredible this thread has gone without a response

When you get dozens regarding an SNL skit or Fox not televising the second debate. I was much more deflated by that 54% approval number from CNN last week than any supposed 8 point deficit in the polls.

Bush's fate is directly linked to his approval rating on November 2. That's why we desperately need two more debates, with Bush inevitably on the defensive.

[Proud2BAmurkin]

2. And after these polls, AWOL* will sink even further behind

he's HISTORY

[enough]

3. A good article explaining the importance of this number

is found here.
http://emergingdemocraticmajorityweblog.com/donkeyrising/index.php

A nice concise explanantion for those of us who aren't already up on all of this. Discusses both the national polls and the battleground state polls. Orignially posted by DemMother in a tread that disappeared in all the debate excitement.

snip>

Almost all poll reporting focuses on the “spread,” that is, the difference in the percentage supporting Bush and John Kerry...However, in incumbent elections, the incumbent’s percentage of the vote is a far better indicator of the state of the race than the spread. In fact, the percentage of the vote an incumbent president receives in surveys is an extraordinarily accurate predictor of the percentage he will receive on election day -- even though the survey results also include a pool of undecided voters.

elections are fundamentally a referendum on the incumbent. The first step in voters’ decision-making process is to answer the question “does he deserve re-election?” Undecided voters have basically answered that question in the negative, and their undecided status reflects the fact that they don’t know enough about the challenger (yet) to feel comfortable stating a public preference.

Think of it this way: The percentage that Bush receives in polls represents his ceiling of support; he may get a little less, but won’t get more. In contrast, Kerry’s percentage represents his floor, and he will almost certainly do better on election day.

snip>


Thanks for all your good work, TruthIsAll.

[opihimoimoi]

4. Good Job TIA...Bush is Toast, he screwed the Nation and now it comes

back full circle.

[DeepModem Mom]

5. Kick!

[tritsofme]

6. Bush is down 4% from Gallup

His last approval rating was 54%

That debate was a disaster for *

[Heath.Hunnicutt]

7. And more polls still will be coming in. :)

I like the way that graph looks. Going: down.