Polls are looking good for now

[sampsonblk]

Gallup and Newsweek seem to oversample repubs. So we can probably expect a better bounce to show up for Kerry in the days ahead.

Conventional wisdom says that Kerry is in the driver's seat now. All the issues left to debate are ones that favor us. Let's hope Kerry hammers Bush on the domestic issues and constantly connects those with Bush's bad foreign policy!

[ailsagirl]

1. Polls

You're right-- the polls are looking good-- for now. But there are so many that I discount: Time, Newsweek, Fox, Gallup. I think one of the few I trust is Zogby. Oftentimes the polls are skewed, for any number of reasons. But I think the main reason is to discourage the Dems and bring their morale down. I really do.

Zogby was the only one I know who said "there was no 11 point bounce" after the RNC. But the mainstream media keep spouting that as if it were fact. It's terrible when lies become embedded.

I have come to the disheartening conclusion that there are very, very few organizations that I trust to deliver the truth.

ailsa

[BamaLefty]

2. I Trust only 2

... Zogby and Rasmussen Reports.

[TruthIsAll]

3. Are you aware that Rasmussen was a Repuke pollster in 2000?

He said BUsh would win by over 5%, if I recall. His numbers put him at the bottom in forecast accuracy.

Zogby and Harris came the closestlast time. The Economist is top notch. So is ARG.

I don't trust Ras and will compare Zogby's daily tracking poll, starting Wednesday, to him.

I can't wait for Zogby and ARG to release new state polls, which I will put directly into the Election Model.