Newsweek Poll: Dean/Gephardt do best against Bush.

[Sean Reynolds]

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Jan. 8-9, 2004. N=842 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.

.

"Suppose the next general election for president were being held TODAY and you had to choose between George W. Bush, the Republican, and , the Democrat -- who would you vote for?" If "Other" or "Undecided": "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward Bush, the Republican, or , the Democrat?" Names rotated

George W Bush - 50%
Richard Gephardt - 43%

George W Bush - 51%
Howard Dean - 43%

George W Bush - 50%
Wes Clark - 41%

http://www.pollingreport.com/wh04gen.htm

[Jack_Dawson]

1. Among Iowa and New Hampshire voters

[Sean Reynolds]

2. Uh, wrong:

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Jan. 8-9, 2004. N=842 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.

[kerry-is-my-prez]

3. Clark doing best in AP poll. By quite a wide margin...

http://pennlive.com/newsflash/lateststories/index.ssf?/base/politics-1/107374854126971.xml


AP-Ipsos poll Jan. 5-7: Bush Wins; Clark Best Head to Head

Wesley Clark by 49-42 (by 7)
Howard Dean by 54-39 (by 15)
John Kerry by 54-37 (by 17)
Dick Gephardt by 56-35 (by 21)

[Sean Reynolds]

5. Good. But this is a new poll and we're not talking about that AP poll.

Or I can bring up that CNN/TIME poll showing Dean doing best against Bush. Or that new FOX poll showing Dean doin' best against Bush.

[lancdem]

8. Actually, Sean

The Fox poll has Dean trailing Bush by 21 and Clark trailing him by 20. :)

[realdem]

4. Dean low Negs show Gallup Poll Aberration

"Still, only 17 percent of them have an unfavorable opinion of the former Vermont governor, compared with the 59 percent who say they view him favorably."

[Sean Reynolds]

6. Yes it does.

[lancdem]

7. The key is, all three are within single digits of Bush

BTW, Bush's disapproval rating is over 40 in this poll (41 percent) and it's at 42 percent in the Ipsos poll for AP. We need to get it higher, but it's nice to see it above 40 percent again.

[WI_DEM]

9. this is very good for all of our candides

to be within single digits of Bush. I think that Gallup poll is distoted with Dean 20-points behind. Most other polls back up this survey and show a tighter race.

[lancdem]

11. Execpt for the Fox poll

which shows our candidates trailing badly.

[gulliver]

10. MOE +- 4

The difference is neglible between all three according to this poll, I think.

[Leilani]

12. I think Clark will go up

nationwide when he is better known.

[Padraig18]

13. better known?

The man was on CNN every day for hours for 2 months. How much better known can he be, at this point? :shrug:

[JNelson6563]

14. I often think the same thing

when people declar Clark has low name recognition. :shrug:

Julie

[Tweed]

16. Not nearly as much people watch CNN

You can't be serious. First off, not that many people watch CNN. Second, I don't pay attention to excatly WHO is doing the commentary. Third, people don't talk about hosts they saw on TV, they talk about presidental candidates. Fourth, Dean's style and views don't go over well with most of the country whereas Clark's do. The more people look into the views (which yes is different then just seeing a guy running for president speak on TV for a couple of seconds), Dean's number would fall and Clark's would rise.

[Padraig18]

18. Where I live

For the run up to the war and the 6 weeks after, everyone I knew was glued to CNN; I suspect not much of the country was radically different. Clark has had plenty of exposure, and has in fact dropped since he first announced, nationwide, while Dean has risen.

[mzmolly]

15. Poll after poll showing Dean is the MOST electable.

Especially when you take all the polls into consideration. Thanks Sean.

[cally]

17. These polls seem to be all over the map

Some of the differences are within the margin or error, but the fluctuation among polls is amazing. I guess you need to look at trends among each poll, rather than the actual number.

[stickdog]

19. AP & Gallup = Rove's Whores

Dean is a great candidate who has the ability to weather a media onslaught and come out swinging.