Reuters resports a statistical dead heat, which means Kerry by 15 probably

[Selwynn]

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Bush (news - web sites) is now in a statistical dead heat with Democratic challenger Sen. John Kerry (news - web sites) for the Nov. 2 election, in a tightening of the race after the first debate last week, a poll on Monday showed.

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story2&u=/nm/20041004/pl_nm/campaign_poll_dc

[trotsky]

1. A small Kerry lead is almost ALWAYS called a "statistical dead heat".

Ever notice that?

Yet when * led by less than the margin of error, it seems like they referred to it as a "Bush lead."

[rock]

3. In fact, just what it was before the debate

These polls are biased to begin with, but what we're seeing is just noise fluctuation.

[Goldmund]

2. That's the Gallup poll that came out last night.

[On the Road]

4. Wow -- Those Polls Turned Around Fast

We may look back on Thursday night as the watershed event that won the eleciton.