http://www.theleftcoaster.com/archives/002932.html<snip>
Poll of September 13-15
Reflected Bush Winning by 55%-42%
GOP: 40%
Dem: 33%
Ind: 28%
Poll of September 24-26
Reflected Bush Winning by 52%-44%
GOP: 43%
Dem: 31%
Ind: 25%
Poll of October 1-3
Reflected Dead Heat 49%-49%
772 Likely Voters
GOP: 35%
Dem: 39%
Ind: 26%
Folks, for Gallup’s likely voter methodology to be accurate you would have to accept that there was a 16% swing in party self-identification in one week, with 8% fewer likely voters self-identifying as Republicans and 8% more self-identifying as Democrats.
Registered Voter Samples
Poll of September 13-15
Reflected Bush Winning by 52%-44%
GOP: 38%
Dem: 33%
Ind: 28%
Poll of September 24-26
Reflected Bush Winning by 54%-41%
GOP: 40%
Dem: 31%
Ind: 28%
Poll of October 1-3
Reflected Bush Winning by 49%-47%
934 Registered Voters
GOP: 36%
Dem: 38%
Ind: 26%
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