For The Love Of God-Re Bush- Kerry Horserace Polls...

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Instead of freaking out with each negative and positive poll just do a poll of polls (average) or throw out the outliers (the best and worst poll for your candidate)...

If you do that you will find that Kerry turned a five or six point deficit into a tie in the course of one debate...

As I have been saying for weeks this race is a pickem with a slight advantage to the Chimp... I will amend my prediction ever so slighltly... This is a pickem...

Think Muhammad Ali in his prime against Joe Louis in his prime...

It will come down to who wants it more and who's supporters want it more....

[featherman]

1. Disagree - slight advantage Kerry in both EC and PV

Has been since June or earlier except for slight, misleading Bush bounce
due to Smearboat/convention double whammy. Now back to "even" race which favors DEMS and challengers. Kerry is both.

(usual caveats - continued hard work, GOTV, matched funds, no earth shaking event that changes the equation).

[lancdem]

2. Good point

And even the ones that have Bush ahead (ABC, Pew) show Kerry with some measureable imporvement on a variety of questions.

It's pretty amazing, actually, for Kerry to have made up so much ground because of one debate. Bush had a solid (though not large) lead in this race for a month, and now it's gone.

[WilliamPitt]

3. Not worth bothering

There is just a certain breed of DUer who will either exalt or despair depending on poll numbers. No amount of cajoling, calming, reasoning or soothing will salve this bipolar flailing. It is what it is.