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Edited on Wed Oct-06-04 04:27 AM by deckerd
6. Bush didn't respond to all the criticism from debate #1. Everything from shutting down subways, outsourcing Tora Bora, rushing to war and not supplying body armor, not having money for troops because of the tax cuts to the richest 2%.
Put all the attacks together and it was unreal. Bush is either a complete idiot for not being able to forsee and have a reply to these attacks or is a complete idiot for "taking the high road". An unanswered attack is assumed to be correct, I would think.
Now Kerry is out with ads saying that Bush is giving favors to the Saudis while they gouge us with high oil prices. It's incorrect and SA is pumping more oil than ever in an attempt to keep prices down...but it's a devastating ad.
Watch Bush come back with an ad about how nice the Kerry daughters are and how he "loved" a dead soldiers wife. If there's one consolation to a Bush defeat, it's that all economic bad news will be blamed on Kerry and that I won't have to hear Bush attempt to speak anymore.
Comment by brianb -- 10/5/2004 @ 10:40 am
My general opinion was that debate 1 eliminated any chance of a Bush landslide by taking states like MD, CA, NY, CT completly out of play and moving NJ leftward
Comment by Ryan -- 10/5/2004 @ 10:36 am
24. Well, I think everyone here is being objective and is right about one thing. Republicans have been demoralized the past few days. In the polling data, in everything else, it seems fairly apparent. If the election were being held in three to four days, I would frankly predict Kerry would win in a very tight race or it would be to close to call. (and I am sure this is what Carter must have realized in 1980 before the election, and probably what Bush's advisors realized in 2000 before the election).
Of course, the good thing for Bush is that the election is a month anyway and there are still two intervening Prez debates and one VP debate. I pretty much have said (and will say) that ignoring motivation to vote, Bush is probably up 3-4, as opposed to the 4-6 before the debate. This is through reading a lot of the post-debate stuff and otherwise. Having said that, if Bush puts up just as equally of a bad performance, or even worse at the next debate, the race will probably be offically tied once again, with Kerry showing the momentum of being ahead.
It's like the old line, "Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me." Much like in 2000, if Bush (like Gore did then) lays another bomb, that one would have real and potentially very damaging effects.
Of course, if Bush comes back decently, the race should probably level off around that 3-4 number. If Bush comes back and knocks Kerry out of the debate, it will probably go back to the 5-6 number, with some positive residual for Bush.
This is just a little gut analysis. Cheney's debate tonight could also help or hurt the President, but the best thing the Prez can get out of it is to stop the bleeding a little (much like Bush in '84 for example)
Comment by JA -- 10/5/2004 @ 2:25 pm
10. Bush performed so badly in the first debate that I started to think those stories about being brain damaged from alcoholism were true. He spoke slowly, unsurely, and didn't really say much. It was pathetic.
Maybe he was just trying to "take the high road", but if that's all he can do, then the election is over.
I just hope Kerry is stuck with an imploding stock market, $80 a barrel oil, and a devastated auto industry. Let those union thugs, who for some reason vote democrat, watch their jobs go down the tubes.
Comment by brianb -- 10/5/2004 @ 6:37 pm
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