ARG Poll: K 48, B 45 (RV) K47, B46 (LV)- Abramowitz: "Race is Tied"

[swag]

If you don't read Ruy Teixeira's polling blog, and you're interested in polling data, you might want to look into it.

http://www.emergingdemocraticmajorityweblog.com/donkeyrising/index.php

. . .

Professor Alan Abramowitz of Emory University, one of the leading academic analysts of American politics, sends along the following update on the polls:

John Kerry and George W. Bush remain tied in the race for president both among Americans registered to vote and among likely voters according to a nationwide survey from the American Research Group, Inc. In the ballot preference between Kerry and Bush among registered voters, 48% say they would vote for Kerry and 45% say they would vote for Bush. When Ralph Nader is added to the ballot, 47% of registered voters say they would vote for Kerry, 44% say they would vote for Bush, and 2% say they would vote for Nader.

Among registered voters considered likely to vote in November, Kerry is at 47% and Bush is at 46% in a two-way ballot. With Nader in the race, Kerry is at 46% and Bush is at 46% among likely voters and Nader is at 2%.

The results presented here are based on 1,005 completed telephone interviews conducted among a nationwide random sample of registered voters. Of the total sample of 1,005 registered voters, 800 are likely voters in November. The interviews were completed October 2 through 4, 2004. The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of registered voters is plus or minus 3 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split. The theoretical margin of error for the sample of likely voters is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

. . .

[kemche]

1. Made my day...

KG

[Inland]

2. Go Kerry, go Kerry, go Kerry!

[mzmolly]

3. Nader pulls 1% from Kerry and nada from Bush.

That's simply too much.