Some Latest Zogby Results spells Good News

[i_c_a_White_Ghost]

http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-battleground04.html

[requiem99]

1. Good for us, very bad for Bush.

[i_c_a_White_Ghost]

2. Welcome requiem

:-)

[spooky3]

3. Welcome to DU, requiem99!

[trotsky]

4. Holy crap

If we can make those states blue on Nov. 2, there is no way * can win.

[bushisanidiot]

5. A lot of the undecideds will turn out to be bandwagon jumpers

i think kerry is gonna win by a 6 point margin.

[skooooo]

8. Hoping Colorado goes Dem. too..

Several weeks ago, it looked like it might go dem. I think it still can!

[Nicholas D Wolfwood]

10. I agree.

I've been saying it's going to be a Kerry landslide for a while now, and time is starting to prove me right.

[JuniorPlankton]

6. It's better

than anything else I have seen recently!

[Lord_StarFyre]

7. Gods I hope President Kerry buries

the Smirking Chimp on Friday.

I'd really like to see that list ALL Blue.

[Jeff in Cincinnati]

9. It will happen...

All three Bush States are within the margin of error, and a solid performance could land us Tennessee and Missouri right away. West Virginia will be tougher.

[Kierkegaard]

11. Outstanding. This must have Rove & Co soiling their undergarments.

I think Kerry could coerce a surrender from the Chimp campaign with a good showing on Friday.

[JamesKPolk]

12. Definitely good news, but...

The real story is not just how close so many states are, but how many states can be decided by a swing in undecided and weak-supporter voters. Despite popular paranoia, I doubt that this election will come down to 500 votes in Florida or Ohio.

If undecided voters break for Kerry (keeping in mind that most undecided voters usually break for the challenger), then he will rack up a huge electoral win.

If Bush pulls out an October surprise (Osama captured, Willie Horton type ad, some form of outlandish gay or race baiting which the media picks up) then it will break overwhelmingly for him.

My advice though is the same for every election. Ignore the polls, get involved, stay involved, and do GOTV in any swing state on election day.

[liberal N proud]

13. Does that start to look like a landslide?

Put that together with the solid states and slip sliding away!

[yellowcanine]

14. MO and TN are very close. It is WV I don't understand. Bush is still up

6 points. Has anyone heard any new registration figures out of WV? New registrantion + GOTV could win WV for Kerry imo.

[NewYorkerfromMass]

16. I saw that too. It is fantastic news!

FLorida looks to be a hairsplitter.

[Demi_Babe]

15. WOW

love it

[Clinton Crusader]

17. WOW! This is bloody fantastic!!!

:bounce: :bounce: :bounce:
:kick:

[Media_Lies_Daily]

18. Here's the latest Zogby analysis of the Electoral College (good!)....

<http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-battleground04-an1006.html>

Excerpt:

"If the results on Election Day matched Zobgy's numbers, Mr. Kerry would win. Here's how:

To analyze Zogby's results, we begin by assuming that the District of Columbia and the 34 states that aren't in the battleground poll will vote for the same political party this November as they did in the 2000 election. Thus, Mr. Bush starts with 189 electoral votes and Mr. Kerry with 172. A candidate needs 270 electoral votes to win.

To those numbers, we add the electoral votes from the latest poll, regardless of the margins of error or the spread between the candidates. Mr. Kerry's 13 states have 150 electoral votes, while Mr. Bush's three have 27 votes. The bottom line: Mr. Kerry would have 322 electoral votes and the president would have 216.

That 106-vote margin is far wider than the last analysis, on Sept. 20, the president was just 56 electoral votes behind Mr. Kerry."

[RhodaGrits]

19. kick

[KharmaTrain]

20. Zogby's Model Has Been Rock Solid...

As noted above...Bunnypants never took a lead in his poll and now the trend is starting to go Kerry again. Zogby predicted there's be an uptick following the RNC and then the race would start breaking Kerry's way. He's staying right on his call.

Remember, this is the online poll (I participate...anyone can)...and this is a very detailed one. I got the latest poll for the debate on Sunday and didn't get it filled out til Monday...thus probably showed in these results...and I'm sure I'm not alone. There are probably many others in swing states who haven't checked their email and will in the next few days.

I haven't seen if Gallup or Rassmussen uses online polls like this, but it appears it's given Zogby a great advantage.