California sharply reduces future population estimates

[Kadie]

California sharply reduces future population estimates


The Associated Press
Last Updated: October 4, 2004, 06:30:22 AM PDT


LOS ANGELES (AP) - California's population is not growing nearly as fast as planners once thought it would and is expected to reach about 51 million residents by 2040 rather than the 58 million once forecast, according to new state estimates.

California, currently with about 36 million residents, will continue to grow, but only at about 400,000 people a year, rather than the 600,000 once forecast, according to state planners.

The drop is being attributed to a decrease in births, particularly among Hispanics.

Birth rates have declined among all ethnic and racial groups tracked by the state, but Hispanic women account for the largest number of births, according to Mary Heim, chief of the state Finance Department's demographic research section. Since 1990, however, their birth rates have decreased from an average of 3.41 children per mother to 2.6,

"I think you could safely say more than half the reduction is because of the reduced fertility among Latinas," Heim said.

more...
http://www.mercedsun-star.com/state_wire/story/9238827p-10139796c.html

[livetohike]

1. Interesting - plus I believe we will lose population

due to baby boomers moving out of state as they retire. I know I will be leaving.

[slackmaster]

5. Not exactly

Affluent Boomer's parents are taking up OFFICIAL residence in states with no personal income tax e.g. Nevada, Texas, and Tennessee, while keeping the California homes in which they have scads of equity.

I know people who spend 11 months of the year in their "beach houses" in La Jolla or Pacifica or Monterey and just enough time in Las Vegas to qualify as Nevada residents. When you're living on a fixed taxable income it's like getting a 10% raise not to live in California. Keep your vehicle licensed in Nevada and you save hundreds more dollars per year on registration and insurance.

Bottom line - Those people are actually still living in Cali but not paying personal income taxes. It's about as honest as the Bush family living in Texas and spending long summers in Kennebunkport.

[livetohike]

6. Good points and there are many, many people who have been

here a long time. This is my second "tour" of CA and I am taking my money and running :-) .

[pelagius]

2. Birth rates drop...

...when education and income statistics for women go up. I wonder if there's any link in this case?

[The Backlash Cometh]

3. Or...

because the hispanic community in California is Americanizing?

[Ranec]

4. Or better access to health care n/t