Governor's race from Kos

[rurallib]

12. Iowa (D-Open)
While Rep. Nussle (R) seemed to be the early favorite, given the congressman's popularity in a lean-Democratic district for years, all the recent polling gives Chet Culver (D) (the sec of state) a narrow but consistent edge.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/7/24/134643/929

Well alrighty!

[pstans]

1. I saw that, but didn't quite get the rankings

I thought their analysis of the Iowa was about right, but I didn't get how they decided Iowa was 12th. And 12th what?

[rurallib]

2. I am guessing they are in order of likelihood of a Dem victory.

The note below said he almost forgot to include Iowa.
Comments inside basically say it could bounce either way.
On another note - did you read the section on Nevada? They have (R) Jim Gibbons running against (D) Jim Gibson possibly. Boy would that be confusing.

[Counciltucky]

3. I'm not complaining.

Just as long as Culver has the lead when the voting's over, that's what matters. If DailyKos is right, so far so good.

[DU9598]

4. Where are the polls

I was expecting Culver to get a bounce after the primary and maybe start him out 10-12% points ahead ... figuring he was 8-9% ahead in the polls over Nussle prior to the primary. Did the media decide to stop polling to not allow a bounce to happen? I find it fairly strange.

I still think Culver is going to pull out a fairly sizeable win ... in part thanks to Fallon and Harkin. I think both of those progressives have a lot of reasons to cultivate and turn out a progressive base of voters. Obviously Vilsack has plenty of reasons to put a lot of money behind Culver as well ... I just don't know that Vilsack has much influence anymore.