Emily could be ours

[PDittie]

by early next week:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL0505W5_sm2+gif/115406W_sm.gif

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/115406.shtml?5day

[wakeme2008]

1. Florida thinks it's about time you Texans joined into the

fun.... :) ......

[malaise]

2. I posted that last night

Sadly she is mine first. We hope she passes south and that looks highly probable, but we are sure getting ready. If the eye goes through any part of Jamaica, Texas better get ready.
Here are the 8.00am models
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200505_model.html

[Justyce]

3. Lovely... I'm near the coast & right in the strike zone....

[catabryna]

4. They've changed the path again...

Now they are predicting landfall between Corpus Christi and Freeport...

[tammywammy]

5. How long has it been since a hurricane hit TX?

I can't remember. I have a lot of family in the Beaumont/Pt Arthur area, so hopefully it'll miss them.

My grandpa as soon as it's even tempting to hit that area, leaves well in advance, before any evacuation. He just says "I have insurance, I'm not sticking around."

Good Luck to all those southern Texans.

[Justyce]

7. That's the area I'm in -- we haven't

had anything big in a while & nothing in my lifetime as disastrous as Florida's last year... hope if we're due for one that it won't be a category 5 at least! The worst thing about one hitting this area is all the refineries -- can you imagine the havoc a few leveled refineries with chemicals everywhere would cause?!

[tammywammy]

8. Yes, if a category 4 or 5 hit Beaumont

I know a lot for instance my grandpa's house would be totalled.

I know that they've been through evacuations before, they'd just drive all the way up to DFW and make it a mini-vacation visiting us.

[WolverineDG]

9. Brett 1999

I evacuated from Corpus because it jumped 2 categories in 2 hours, from Cat. 2 to Cat. 4. Then it slammed into the area between CC & Brownsville which is has more cows than people.

dg

[carpetbagger]

10. Claudette, 2003.

Port O'Connor.

Hurricane Ivan hit Texas last year as a tropical storm, but only after a somewhat unusual reconstitution, after hitting shore in Alabama, tracking up to Maryland or Virginia, staying intact as a low pressure system, and then reconstituting a tropical circulation after looping back around Florida.

[Not_Giving_Up]

6. Channel 13 (Houston)

Shows the projected path as the entire Texas coast.

[MinotaurArms]

11. I'm no weather expert, but...

wouldn't' the landfall it makes on the Yucatan peninsula alter its course a bit, or at least enough to spare Texas?

[malaise]

12. Emily may not head for the Yucatan peninsula

She has again regained strength, veered north, slowed down and her pressure is also down. As I said before if she veers north, our south coast will get hit, and we will have severe problems. Grand Cayman will also get hit and Texas better start preparing for trouble next week. If she stays south of Jamaica, she will hit the Yucatan peninsula. Beyond that I would hazard a guess.
http://www.weather.com/maps/news/atlstorm5/projectedpath_large.html

<edit - add sentence>

[alarimer]

15. Not according to the latest maps at NWS

It still shows it heading into Mexico somewhere pretty well south of Bronsville.

[PDittie]

13. Land alters the strength, not the course

That's determined by the upper level winds.

The NOAA map (in the originating post) has the models beginning to veer ever so slightly south. Brownsville and the rest of the Valley is still threatened.

[yellowdogintexas]

14. this could mean a few days of heavy rain up here in North Texas

but I hate to see the coast get clobbered.

The path right now looks like Cozumel, Cancun etc may suffer heavily. DAMN..I love Cozumel!

[anarchy1999]

16. She is "a coming home!"

Stand back, watch out and for heaven's sake, GET OUT OF THE WAY!

Incoming!

Oh and by the way, Peace. Head on up to Dallas. We'll help you Vets interested in Peace find refuge.

www.veteransforpeace.org

[cloud75]

17. it hit 71 miles south of us just rain and winds were are all safe.

[PDittie]

18. Nice to hear, cloud75

and a belated welcome to A2K (and the Texas forum)!

:hi: