Encouraging numbers from Collin County

[rainbow4321]

http://www.baumbach.org/b2evolution/blogs/index.php

After 6 days of early voting (through Saturday), 79,350 voters had cast their ballot. I have been able to analyze 75,513 of them:

33.1% (24,992) were registered Democrats
23.4% (17,694) were registered Republicans
43.5% (32,827) did not vote in the primary
As in most elections, the deciding voters will be the Independents. In Collin County, we can expect the majority of these Independents to vote for Republican candidates. The big question is, "How many of those Independents will vote Republican in 2008?".

We can gain some inferences from looking at previous races.

In the 2004 Presidential election, 222,048 independent (non-primary) voters cast their ballots - 72% of them for Republican George Bush. However, in the more recent 2006 Precinct 2 commissioners court race, only 65% of the Independents voted for the Republican incumbent, Jerry Hoagland.

Many think the key factor will be the newly registered voters. In the primaries, these voters chose the Democrats more than 2 to 1 over the Republicans.

To win in 2008, the Republicans will have to keep at least 55% of the non-primary Independents. If you factor in the newly registered, the Republicans must hold on to over 60% of the Independent vote.

[tbyg52]

1. Same here.

http://www.kissmybigbluebutt.com/#November_1

[rainbow4321]

2. Love the blog link!! Thanks!

Good to see the same kind of stats ALL across TX!


The local Dem office here is making a big push to get Dem poll watchers and greeters out in force on Tuesday. Have gotten 2 calls from them this week so they must be going down their list. I've signed up as a greeter at my precinct.

[tbyg52]

3. I'll be standing outside an old polling place, directing people to the new polling place.

Our county Democratic party can't even be bothered to change the locations on their website - still have the old ones. Really. A lot of people are ticked at the county chair, and she's mad at *us* for telling people. Unbelievable, huh?

There are other places to find out, or course, but still.....!

Here are the right places:
http://www.co.fort-bend.tx.us/upload/images/elections_administration/Election_Day_Polling_Places.pdf

And here are the wrong places (at least in some cases):
http://www.fbcdp.org/voterinfo.html

[crispini]

4. Oh lordy. This is why you should just put a link to the official stuff

on your own website, that's what we did.

Why not just make a big sign, that way you won't have to stand there? That's what we did in the primary runoff, when the Republicans moved their polling place. Hahah, we had a lot of PO'ed Repubs that day. :P

[tbyg52]

5. Because I'm also giving them maps and water.... ;-> nt