Capitol Annex blog 7/29/09Who Will Perry Pick To Replace Hutchison? Smart Money Is On DewhurstOut of that list, however, the smart money is on Perry picking Dewhurst. Why?
First and foremost, Texas is already getting a lot of heat in national GOP circles because the Republicans don’t like the thought of an expensive special election and runoff election in May; it will drain much needed resources and funds from nationwide donors that are needed in battleground states in the fall. Lt. Governor David Dewhurst could largely self-fund a U.S. Senate race. In fact, he is arguably the wealthiest of any of the names previously mentioned. By appointing Dewhurst, Perry can let the National Republican Senatorial Campaign Committee breathe a sigh of relief, because he’d put a well-moneyed placeholder in the Senate who would likely run for the post.
Second, a Dewhurst appointment to the U.S. Senate makes sense looking at the landscape of statewide officeholders. Perry doesn’t want to sap energy or news coverage (or money) from his primary against Kay Bailey Hutchison. My moving Dewhurst to the Senate, he allows AG Greg Abbott to move up the ladder to the Lt. Governor’s race, where he’d likely be unopposed on the GOP side. With apponents unlikely in the primary for Land Commissioner Jerry Patterson or Comptroller Susan Combs, that leavs only the AG’s race and Agriculture Commissioner Todd Staples with the potential to generate any kind of primary that could possibly suck money, volunteers, or media away from the Perry versus Hutchison contest. And a GOP primary for AG commissioner would probably be a non-entity as far as Perry’s race is concerned.
I think Vince is right.
Sonia