Did Gregoire win the Governor's race?

[PROGRESSIVE1]

[wabeewoman]

1. No winner yet.

At one point 32 votes separated them with Democrat Gregoire on top. With nearly 1.9 million votes tallied by early Wednesday, Republican Rossi led by 1,064.
"This could take another week" as hundreds of thousands of absentee and provisional ballots are counted, Rossi told supporters in Bellevue. http://www.komotv.com/stories/33781.htm

[jessicazi]

2. Damn

I am so glad my mom let me vote on her absentee for washington state. Go Gregoire!

[VPStoltz]

3. Gregoire

Last I heard, she was up, what?, 15K? Those were all King Co. votes. There are over 100K to still count.

[Biased Liberal Media]

4. It's a tight race last I saw

I really REALLY hope that pompous ass Rossi does NOT get it!!!! Oyy!

[freeplessinseattle]

5. oyoyoyoy! lord have mercy! isn't the pres race bad enough? Rossi really

gives me bad vibes, right through the tv screen. snake through and through, I can tell.

[cmf]

6. These are the results as of 11/4:

Christine Gregoire Democrat 980512 49.31%
Dino Rossi Republican 966245 48.59%
Ruth Bennett Libertarian 41469 2.08%
Results last updated on: 11/4/2004 11:29:00 AM

[Biased Liberal Media]

7. Biting my nails here!!!!!!

arghhh!

[kurtyboy]

8. Results last updated on: 11/4/2004 5:55:00 PM

Christine Gregoire Democrat 1068314 49.32%
Dino Rossi Republican 1052200 48.57%
Ruth Bennett Libertarian 45577 2.10%


Still alot of votes left out there, but I'm feeling better about my homestate--We got both Legislative houses and probably a governor--AND WE VOTED FOR THE SMART GUY FOR PRESIDENT!!!!

It was fun to listen to local talk radio this morning--they were hammering on Vance and the poor job he did for the GOP here.

BWAHAHAHA!

[Comadreja]

9. Geeezus, I hope

They're not counting the Eastside votes last!

[bettys boy]

12. The Eastside isn't a lost cause

The Eastside is anchored with the 41st and 48th LDs, both of which have D's in the Assembly. We in the Mercer Island-centric 41st just kicked out State Sen. Horn. Moreover, we defeated both R55 and one of its champions, Fawn Spady (boycott Dick's!).

True, the 8th CD elected Reichert over Dave Ross, but you can attribute that to him putting away Ridgway. I predict he'll stumble mightily and will be vulnerable in two years.

Economic/taxation issues framed properly as "investments in trade infrastructure" will sell over here, but we may need to reach out more creatively to address conservation/preservation concern - "property rights" issues are hot in the rural parts of King Co.

"Values" are indeed important - lots of non-demoninational churches.

[cmf]

10. 11/5/2004 7:25 am

Christine Gregoire Democrat 1080382 49.35%
Dino Rossi Republican 1062427 48.53%
Ruth Bennett Libertarian 46127 2.10%

[kurtyboy]

11. Results last updated on: 11/5/2004 11:54:00 AM

Christine Gregoire Democrat 1088860 49.33%
Dino Rossi Republican 1071722 48.55%
Ruth Bennett Libertarian 46576 2.11%

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

13. It's tightened up a bit

Christine Gregoire Democrat 1166299 49.13%
Dino Rossi Republican 1156421 48.72%
Ruth Bennett Libertarian 50754 2.13%



Results last updated on: 11/5/2004 4:56:00 PM

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

14. Yikes!!!! Her lead's only 4000 votes now

Christine Gregoire Democrat 1192259 49.00%
Dino Rossi Republican 1188258 48.84%
Ruth Bennett Libertarian 52318 2.15%

[ogradda]

15. shit

have they done the absentee's yet? do you know?

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

16. They've started

There's about 360,000 left. I'm keeping my fingers crossed.

Slade Gorton lost in 2000 after the absentee ballots were counted.

If Rossi wins he won't be able to do much. The Democrats control both houses of the legislature.

[AntiCoup2K4]

17. All the precincts reported and she's winning.

Check the results thread.

Unfortunately, as close as it is, this one will be a mandatory recount. Unless the shitheads can pull a fast one, the number should hold up, but it may not be certified for a while :(

[JetCityLiberal]

18. Update November 8th 4:41 PST

http://www.komotv.com/elections/race1003.htm

She is up by 16,500+ now.

JetCityLiberal

[kurtyboy]

19. Results last updated on: 11/8/2004 4:59:00 PM

Christine Gregoire Democrat 1240101 49.24%

Dino Rossi Republican 1223750 48.59%

Ruth Bennett Libertarian 54422 2.16%

Not too many left to count--but enough that no one will call this race just yet--if the percentages hold, this WILL NOT be recounted.

Kurt

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

20. Results as of 11/8/2004 5:37:00 PM

Christine Gregoire Democrat 1262590 49.08%

Dino Rossi Republican 1253854 48.74%

Ruth Bennett Libertarian 55683 2.16%

It's a mandatory recount if the difference is less than .5%

[oldtime dfl_er]

21. I make that .34% at this point,

does that make a recount mandatory?

[kurtyboy]

22. Within Mandatory Manual Recount zone, Red Lights!

Christine Gregoire Democrat 1270845 49.02%

Dino Rossi Republican 1265082 48.80%

Ruth Bennett Libertarian 56324 2.17%

Getting VERY VERY close now-- plenty of votes left to count (Nearly 200,000, as of noon today) One Fourth of to them come King county---tomorrow at 4:00 PM. By then, we should have a pretty clear look at who can claim victory, and who will call for a recount. This one will go until Thanksgiving, it looks like...

[kurtyboy]

23. NOW, red lights AND sirens---wow!

Christine Gregoire Democrat 1276505 48.93%
Dino Rossi Republican 1275603 48.89%
Ruth Bennett Libertarian 56705 2.17%

Results last updated on: 11/9/2004 3:50:00 PM

902 Votes apart!!!

I posted above this, went back and refreshed the Secstate Page, and I saw this. Jeez.....

[kurtyboy]

24. Yowza, yowza, yowza - 203 Votes!

Christine Gregoire Democrat 1279026 48.91%

Dino Rossi Republican 1278823 48.90%

Ruth Bennett Libertarian 56852 2.17%

Results last updated on: 11/9/2004 4:36:00 PM

[kurtyboy]

25. Rossi takes the Lead!!!! By 1718 votes....

Christine Gregoire Democrat 1280380 48.88%
Dino Rossi Republican 1282098 48.94%
Ruth Bennett Libertarian 56958 2.17%


Results last updated on: 11/9/2004 5:09:00 PM

23000 votes left to count today, incl 20000 from Pierce Co. due @ 5:30

Big day coming tomorrow....King Co will count most of 46000 votes (4 PM), and Snohomish Co brings in 20000 at 10 AM.

[Jax]

26. I swear kurtyboy

If Snohomish County doesn't break for Gregoire...I haven't checked recently but it went for rossi before these votes will be counted.

Door knocked, and my husband phone called, for Hans Dunshee and it was great. We love him. He is just so responsive. He really gets what it means to represent all of his District.

We are thrilled Hans and Larsen and Murray were re-elected. We plan to be at his victory party this Friday.

Jax...hoping for Gregoire to pull this out.

:hi:

[kurtyboy]

27. Not looking so great at this point New #'s and Projection

Christine Gregoire Democrat 1284411 48.87%

Dino Rossi Republican 1286534 48.95%

Ruth Bennett Libertarian 57242 2.17%

Results last updated on: 11/9/2004 5:31:00 PM

I ran, county by county, projections based upon current county percentages/candidate and remaining ballots to count, as of 5:09 PM.

The numbers aren't there for Gregoire if county-by-county trends continue.

PROJECTION:
Gregoire 1360727 48.87%
Rossi 1362976 48.95%
Bennett 60643 2.18%

Note that those are exactly the percentages that are held statewide right now--in other words, the remaining ballots seem to be proportionate to what's been counted so far, even when county preferences are taken into account. BUT! You can never tell when the margin is less than one-eighth of a percent.

[kurtyboy]

28. Rossi maintaining narrow, but formidible, lead

Christine Gregoire Democrat 1318496 48.84%
Dino Rossi Republican 1321372 48.95%
Ruth Bennett Libertarian 59382 2.20%

Results last updated on: 11/10/2004 4:44:00 PM

I ran my county-by-county projection again--not much change, even with 25,000 left to count in King Co.

PROJECTION--
Gregiore 1360951 48.85%
Rossi 1363920 48.95%
Bennett 61294 2.20%

The interesting part may now be just how close to the 2000 vote threshold they end this thing. If it is 2006 votes, will Gregoire ask a judge to intervene and force a recount? This additional requirement was only added to the .5% requirement AFTER the last election where Gorton and Cantwell slugged it out over a narrow margin--but more than 2000 votes. I've held that only the percentage requirement should be enforced, because if there is an error in counting, it is just as likely to be magnified in a race with 2,000,000 votes as one with 5,000. We shall see....

[kurtyboy]

29. Rossi lead narrows to less than 900 on Friday evening

Christine Gregoire Democrat 1341366 48.87%
Dino Rossi Republican 1342230 48.90%
Ruth Bennett Libertarian 60955 2.22%

Results last updated on: 11/12/2004 5:26:00 PM

NEW COUNTY-BY-COUNTY PROJECTION shows the following result:

Gregoire 1367329 48.87%
Rossi 1368210 48.91%
Bennett 62135 2.22%

Less than 900 vote difference, certain manual recount.

[kurtyboy]

30. It's only 158 votes apart now, Gregoire leading

Christine Gregoire Democrat 1360871 48.88%
Dino Rossi Republican 1360713 48.87%
Ruth Bennett Libertarian 62439 2.24%

Results last updated on: 11/15/2004 5:59:00 PM

Of the remaining votes, Chris and Dino should essentially split 'em down the middle.

Chris has 9475 votes left to count in counties she's VERY strong in (Cowlitz, Jefferson, King, Pacific, San Juan, Thurston, Whatcom).

Dino has 12191 votes left to count in remaining counties--he's MODERATELY strong in these (however these remaining ballots are largely provisional ballots, which somewhat favor Chris).

In any event, projecting existing trends against remaining votes gives us a virtual tie---

Gregoire 1371462 48.88%
Rossi 1371302 48.88%
Bennett 62925 2.24%

Gregoire wins by 160 in this scenario--and the recount is assured.

Has a recount ever turned an election in Washington?

NO.

But!

they have swung NET vote totals in excess of this margin--by as many as 604 votes in the 1968 Attorney General race.
http://www.secstate.wa.gov/office/osos_news.aspx?i=TjrRx9TQ4Kv037C9GJJtuw%3d%3d
This is gonna be one wild ride!!!!!!

[Biased Liberal Media]

31. Any news?!?!?!!

n/t

[bettys boy]

32. "Mandate"

if G wins by only one vote, start pronouncing a mandate for her agenda.

[kurtyboy]

33. Lots of news---

Check out the thread in LBN about Grays Harbor County, including the link to the KOMO TV story about it, and the judicial ruling tonight (Like an hour ago) that King County will have to count the provisionals that the GOP was trying to supress!!!

The Vote count was as close as 20 a few minutes ago, but Rossi leads by 600 right now--it will swing the other way later tonight....

[Quetzal]

34. OK, Rossi is up now

but by only 19 votes

http://vote.wa.gov/general/statewide_results.aspx?o=7FR30bVZqpnn5rCqJv1pVg%3d%3d

Christine Gregoire
Democrat 1367346 48.87%

Dino Rossi
Republican 1367365 48.87%
Ruth Bennett

Libertarian 63062 2.25%

Results last updated on: 11/16/2004 7:25:00 PM

[Quill Pen]

36. What "Voter Fraud" Means in ReSmuglican

Chris Vance was harumphing all over the TV last night about "voter fraud." And what was his big problem? King County had underestimated the number of uncounted ballots remaining. When they released the larger and more accurate number, Vance had a li'l aneurysm.

"Voter fraud" in ReSmug apparently means that all votes actually get counted.

I oughtta come up with an ReSmug-to-English dictionary one of these days.

[DCal]

35. King County increases estimate of ballots left to count

from 1000 to 1450. This change was made on the Secretary of State's web site this morning (November 17). These are probably the new affidavits that the Democrats delivered to King County on Monday and Tuesday.