Poll indicates congressional race between Rep. Steve Kagen, John Gard could be close

[Poiuyt]

WASHINGTON — This year's rematch between Democrat Steve Kagen and Republican John Gard could be as close their first contest in 2006, according to a poll released Thursday by the Gard campaign.

The survey of 400 likely voters puts Gard 4 percentage points behind Kagen, a first-term House member.

The poll found 42 percent of respondents said they would vote for Gard while 46 percent chose Kagen. Eleven percent were undecided, according to Public Opinion Strategies, which conducted the poll for Gard and the National Republican Congressional Committee. The company, a Republican polling firm in Virginia, said the margin of error was 4.9 percent.

When pressed, a majority of the undecided voters said they preferred someone new rather than the incumbent, according to Public Opinion Strategies.

more -

http://www.postcrescent.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080717/APC0101/80717137/1004&located=RSS

I take some solace in the fact that a Republican polling firm still finds Gard behind.

[elocs]

1. So according to here:

http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2004_08/004536.php



with a 4% lead and a 5% margin of error it is 79% likely that Kagen is actually ahead of Gard.

[Nipper1959]

2. I wouldn't give it too much weight

The poll was done by a repug firm and paid for by Gard's campaign.

[midnight]

3. That is funny. A Republican polling firm still finds Gard behind.

[ClassWarrior]

4. Kagen needs to grow a spine and cosponsor IMPEACHMENT...

...otherwise he's just another Bush** Democrat.

NGU.

[RevCheesehead]

5. Gard is robo-calling the district.

Asshole left me a message, inviting me to join his telephone town hall meeting tomorrow night. Oh, and he blamed Kagen for the high gas prices. :eyes: