I really do think it's numbers, poll numbers. I haven't seen one in a while but the last one I saw had the Cons and the Libs neck and neck. I did, however, hear that a poll done quite recently, maybe the last couple of weeks, and the results were that Canadians DO NOT want another minority government because it is seen as a do nothing government.
I certainly won't hold my breath about the probability of a fall election, been there done that too many times and zip happens, lol.
Edited to add poll info and link re poll on minority government:
The Canadian Press Harris-Decima survey showed 64 per cent of respondents prefer a majority over a minority government, up from 52 per cent two years ago.
Only 24 per cent said they preferred a minority, as compared to 36 per cent in 2007.
snip
In another question, the pollsters gave respondents four different scenarios to ponder: A Liberal majority or minority, or a Conservative majority or minority.
The Liberals came out on top in both respects - with 30 per cent preferring a Liberal majority, and 14 per cent a Liberal minority, as compared to the 24 per cent who backed a Conservative majority and nine per cent who wanted a Conservative minority.
more
http://www.canadaeast.com/news/article/726441