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Anyone have the original Cuyahoga results? Something's fishy.

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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 03:32 AM
Original message
Anyone have the original Cuyahoga results? Something's fishy.
Please see this thread for why I am looking for this info. There used to be 93,000 extra votes in Cuyahoga Cnty, and they somehow disappeared, evidently without affecting Bush's margin.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x111211

The problem is that they changed the results on the website and the old data is gone. I have a spreadsheet that someone made from the website a few weeks ago and I personally checked it to verify it on the original site. But now the numbers have changed.

If someone saved the original raw data from the website please let me know.

thanks
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latteromden Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 03:39 AM
Response to Original message
1. Everything
is fishy in Cuyahoga as a general rule and not an exception.

Okay, I'm so sick and sleep deprived I don't think I even know what I'm talking about anymore.

Forgive me for that condition. What 93K? The undervotes, or something else? (Sorry - maybe 2:40AM and 102 temp. is not the best time to try to help out with election fraud questions)
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ClintCooper2003 Donating Member (629 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 03:46 AM
Response to Original message
2. Here's something for now, and I'm still searching...
Seems like something weird's going on in Cleveland. If you look at the presidential election results for Cuyahoga County, you see that "for municipalities with wards," you are to "find the ballots cast total for each ward and total them." But the total among the wards in each such municipality is a good bit fewer than the total listed for the entire municipality itself.

For example, from the City of Cleveland, there were 214,902 ballots cast for president. But from the separate wards (#1 thru #21) of Cleveland, the total is 165,578. So there are 49,324 "missing" ballots. In Cuyahoga County overall there are 199,288 ballots "missing" by this principal. And they are indeed missing because they are not counted in Ohio's total vote count.

So, OK, some things don't add up, and 200,000 votes are missing from the most Democratic municipalities in the most Democratic county in the most critical state that Kerry lost by 137,000 votes. No biggie. Though mind you, this pattern does not show up in any other county in Ohio.

But here's where it gets weird. Here is the number of "missing" votes for each such municipality in Cuyahoga County:

49324 CLEVELAND
9948 NORTH OLMSTED
9948 WESTLAKE
9948 ROCKY RIVER
9948 BAY VILLAGE
9948 FAIRVIEW PARK
8553 WARRENSVILLE HEIGHTS
8553 BEDFORD
8553 BEDFORD HEIGHTS
7284 PARMA
7284 MIDDLEBURG HEIGHTS
6170 GARFIELD HEIGHTS
6007 CLEVELAND HEIGHTS
6007 EAST CLEVELAND
5724 EUCLID
5724 SOUTH EUCLID
5460 OAKWOOD VIL
5295 BROOK PARK
4744 MAPLE HEIGHTS
4314 LAKEWOOD
4009 NORTH ROYALTON
3146 BEREA
3146 OLMSTED FALLS
2540 BROADVIEW HEIGHTS
2147 SEVEN HILLS
1385 HIGHLAND HEIGHTS
1385 MAYFIELD VIL

In 18 of the 27 affected municipalities, the number of missing votes is exactly the same as the number of missing votes in another municipality.

This just doesn't look right. If I received data like this at my office, I would know that something was wrong. There may be some explanation besides fraud. If so, I hope that explanation is found and made clear to the public during the Ohio recount.

It's just something that needs to be clarified, considering that Walden O\'Dell, chief executive of Diebold Inc. and active in the re-election effort of President Bush, wrote to Republicans in a fund-raising letter August 14, 2003 that he is "committed to helping Ohio deliver its electoral votes to the president."

Buck
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Chili Donating Member (832 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 04:04 AM
Response to Reply #2
6. I just added up those totals...
Edited on Sat Dec-04-04 04:09 AM by Chili
...and I did it quickly, so it might be off, but... so you saying that these are the DIFFERENCES between, what? Between what's recorded officially, and the municipalities?

I came up with 196,546 (again, that may not be correct, I did it on the pc's calculator).

There was a controversy about that 93,000 figure, and it was explained as the absentee ballots being added to different precincts to make them even, spread them out, instead of just adding them to where they came from (which would make more sense). Apparently this is SOP. I'll look for the article explaining this in a minute.

To further confuse the issue, the number of "spoiled" ballots also equals 93,000.

I don't know enough about how they tally the votes to say with any confidence if it really is something that should be investigated, or if we should take their word for it ("their word" meaning the explanation given by the Bd. of Elections). Others on this board have said they understood how it was done, but most of us weren't able to reconcile with the explanation.

That's why we need a recount. If the Board of Elections - the same Board of Elections hand-chosen by Kenneth Blackwell and that answers to HIM - weren't so under suspicion, I wouldn't question it.

But we should question it.

(sorry... the correct total is 206494 ... I missed one of the "9948"s.)
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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 04:15 AM
Response to Reply #6
8. but
the PDF referenced showing the 93,489 extra votes in various towns, was extracted BEFORE the absentee ballots were counted.

If their explanation is that they just threw in absentee ballots here and there to whatever towns they felt like, and that is why some towns have more votes than registered voters, that makes no sense because they had not counted the absentee ballots yet.

the PDF referenced (again, here is the URL for it)

http://www.solarbus.org/stealyourelection/articles/CuyahogaCounty-OhioVotingResults.pdf

was saved on my hard drive on 11/10. I know I checked the raw data on the official county website about a week after that, and they still showed those extra votes. Now they are gone.

I'm still at a loss
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Chili Donating Member (832 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 04:25 AM
Response to Reply #8
14. well, heck, I agree with you, LOL!
see below, I added the links from back then when those 93,000 - the "extra" ones, not the spoilage - was first discussed.

I agree, that explanation smelled to me, but I didn't know enough about how they tabulate precinct votes to argue. I still don't, LOL.

There was a poster on the board who used to work for the Cuy. Cty. Bd. of Elections who said it was all kosher. Maybe he can shed some light. I hope he sees this and can.
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AndyTiedye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 04:37 AM
Response to Reply #2
17. Let's Put That in the Proper Context

"committed to helping Ohio deliver its electoral votes to the president."
Walden O'Dell, CEO


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mulethree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 03:50 AM
Response to Original message
3. this is all I have
Edited on Sat Dec-04-04 03:51 AM by mulethree
Have all the counties if you want them.  My copy is from 11/30
don't know when the data came from. 

County	JFK	GWB	Diff	ConnallyMoyer	Diff	Margin
Cuyahoga433262	215624	-217638	294973	199550	-95423	0




Working on a polling place + precinct + tallies file of
cuyahoga atm. 
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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 03:51 AM
Response to Original message
4. no not undervotes, just more votes than registered voters
here is the data that shows the extra votes:

http://www.solarbus.org/stealyourelection/articles/CuyahogaCounty-OhioVotingResults.pdf

I went to the official website (referenced at the bottom of the PDF above) and personally confirmed that the numbers on the PDF were correct. That was approximately 2 weeks ago. I have an email or two that could help me reference the date.

Now, all the "over votes" have disappeared, with no explanation, and no affect on Bush's margin of victory.

I only see two possible explanations:

1) somehow the numbers shifted around and the extra votes that are shown in some towns were moved to different towns, making their numbers go up, thus having no affect on the county total, or the Bush margin of victory statewide.

2) voter fraud

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Lil Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 03:55 AM
Response to Original message
5. Check with Joe Knapp. I think he has all the data - extensive research
Edited on Sat Dec-04-04 03:56 AM by Lil
His thread here has *some* early data - don't know if it is what you want.

<http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x80753>
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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 04:08 AM
Response to Reply #5
7. too recent, doesn't show the over votes
thanks but that's since they took out the extra votes

here's one precinct anyone can check to see if they have the older data:

VOTING DISTRICTVOTES
CUYAHOGA HEIGHTS V

REGISTERED VOTERS
570

CAST
1382

% TOTAL (voter turnout)
242.46%


Note, the current CAST is 338. That means 1044 VOTES HAVE DISAPPEARED IN THAT ONE TOWN ALONE!!!!!!!!!


So if you have something that shows 1382 votes cast in Cuyahoga heights Village, please post or send it.

I know for a fact that it showed that number on their website about 2 weeks ago. I saw there with my own eyes.

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Chili Donating Member (832 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 04:27 AM
Response to Reply #7
15. whoa... okay, I see what you're saying...
...I'm slow when it comes to numbers. I'm a visual person, LOL!

Hold on, going to check something.
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Lil Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 04:46 AM
Response to Reply #7
21. I see his profile has ok for pm and email. I know he has been working. . .
. . .on this and may have more inf. (I don't want to post email addy here. Sorry)
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jfern Donating Member (394 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 04:16 AM
Response to Original message
9. Here
The 93,000 was just stuff in the wrong column. Don't let that distract you from the real interesting stuff (like Cleveland 4F & 4N)

http://boe.cuyahogacounty.us/boe/results/history/2004/110204_GE_Canvass.TXT
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Lil Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 04:22 AM
Response to Reply #9
11. Awesome catch! Hat off to you! :-)
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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 04:24 AM
Response to Reply #9
13. What's wrong with 4F & 4N
I don't see anything wrong with them.

I'd love to see the "wrong column" explanation of the 93,000 if ya got it.

thx
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Lil Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 04:28 AM
Response to Reply #13
16. check out this thread re 4F and 4N
Edited on Sat Dec-04-04 04:30 AM by Lil
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=203&topic_id=108132&mesg_id=108132

Based on jfern's findings here:

"There's a great diary on kos (http://www.dailykos.com/story/2004/12/2/44647/2043 ) where the author, jfern, notes patterns of excessive votes for third-party candidates Badnarik and Peroutka and puts forth a thesis that it is caused by mixing up ballots at multiple-precinct polling places."
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jfern Donating Member (394 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 05:59 AM
Response to Reply #16
25. It's not just 3rd party votes
There's other stuff going out. Cuyahoga county's voting was a failure.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2004/12/4/55521/1331
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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 04:20 AM
Response to Original message
10. fishy
we should play up the "something's fishy" theme.

I see t-shirts showing the state of Ohio with flounder super-imposed

or posters at the rally

we could all cut out fish shaped pieces of cardboard and send them to Blackwell, or the Ohio newspapers for that matter

DOES NOT COMPUTE
SOMETHING'S FISHY
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AndyTiedye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 04:41 AM
Response to Reply #10
19. Put This On the Other Side

"committed to helping Ohio deliver its electoral votes to the president."
Walden O'Dell, CEO
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Chili Donating Member (832 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 04:23 AM
Response to Original message
12. I found the threads discussing this...
Edited on Sat Dec-04-04 04:52 AM by Chili
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x37402

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x33760

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x39310



Here's an additional one for reference:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x38328

There might be more... still looking.

Yes, I'm adding this one (at 4:52am), if you come back to this post:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x30091

(PS: that first link is also just for reference - sorry, I thought there was more in it than that. But I'm glad I read that, I've been looking high and low for this statement, because I knew I'd read it somewhere: "Six counties use an older form of electronic voting, which has a means of verifying the accuracy of the vote." So the machines in Franklin and Mahoning county CAN BE AUDITED and the votes somehow verified. Yeah!)
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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 04:37 AM
Response to Reply #12
18. except for one thing
just because the 6 counties have a verifiable paper trail,

what makes you so sure that the ballots haven't been tampered with? I could see Rove and his pals staying up late at night making stacks of ballots. All they had to do was swipe a few stacks when no one is listening and the recount won't show any problems.

Tell me one thing, why should we trust the recount any more than we trust the first count? Even with watchers, how do we know where those ballots have been for the last month?

trust no one.
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Chili Donating Member (832 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 04:46 AM
Response to Reply #18
20. hey... I LIVE in Cuyahoga County... you're preaching to the choir...
Edited on Sat Dec-04-04 04:47 AM by Chili
...I didn't say I trust anyone or anything... LOL, I'm on YOUR side! All I'm saying is that they are not Diebold machines, and there may be a way to verify what really happened.

Here's another thread, verifying your 1300 figure for Cuyahoga Hts. Unfortunately, the link is to the BOE, and so the figures there will only show the most recent changes. But at least it verifies that what you saw was right.

And I intend on BEING a watcher, if I can. If I get called to duty for it, you can bet I'll be watching like a hawk.

DOH, forgot the link:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x31367
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mulethree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 04:57 AM
Response to Original message
22. A spreadsheet with 'final' cuyahoga data
excel (V5) spreadsheet http://home.comcast.net/~lawrence_hall/public/cuyahoga-locations-and-tallies.xls

Votelocseq is a sequence number for the precinct groupings, sort by this if you want them clustered by polling place.

Eq52seq Is that first column from the EL52.txt (precinct level tallies) file, some kind of precinct number. Good for looking up other results for same precinct.

Data is from jfern's links here :

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=172&topic_id=4800&mesg_id=4800&page=
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flyarm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 05:07 AM
Response to Original message
23. this is what i had in my files..maybe it can help!

Cuyahoga County Precincts - Revised!
http://pages.ivillage.com/americans4america/id20.html

Areas for possible investigation by media

These have not been investigated by the web author.
These points seem worthy of investigation.

Please refer to the Evidence and FACTS pages for information on exit polls versus reported numbers; democrats who reportedly vote republican; voter suppression; and other issues that have made this past election so hotly debated.

Do remember, glitches HAVE been found and proven. Such as Franklin County, dropped votes because machines couldn't handle such large numbers, exit polls being so wrong for the first time in history - surprisingly more incorrect in key states, and other important issues (as noted above) that still require attention.

This isn't so much about who won (for me at least), but rather about the questionable process of voting (computers, op-scanners, etc) we are using and the lack of voter rights (intimidation, long lines (people have to work still), not having a paper trail in many areas).


I have run the numbers with the new information and the totals check out. The sum of ballots cast plus the absentees does total to the number they reported to the state. There are a few inconsistencies, which I will discuss with the county to find an answer. Once I do, I will update this site to let you know I have done so. 11/15/2004

Cuyahoga County, OH - Reported voting incidents

Cuyahoga turn-out turns out to be a glitch


Revised data coming soon for select precincts/cities.

Answers to common questions below absentee ballot explanation.


Finally, an explanation that hopefully will make sense to all... this is what I was trying to explain visually - hopefully this makes more sense! Thanks for the help!

The "ballots cast" numbers are inflated due to the software that groups cities or wards that share the same ballot grouping or ballot combination.

For example, Bay Village is in the 10th congressional district, the 16th house district, and the 24th state senate district. 10/16/24 is what is known as a ballot grouping or ballot combination. In even-numbered years, Cuyahoga County's BOE software counts votes by these ballot groupings.

In that ballot grouping are the communities that share the same 10/16/24 designation. That includes cities like Rocky River, Westlake, Fairview Park, and North Olmsted.

So the total ballots cast for Bay Village takes the actual number of ballots cast, plus all the absentee ballots that were cast from those other communities belonging to the 10/16/24 grouping. That's why "ballots cast" is so high.

The software throws in every absentee ballot for that particular 10/16/24 grouping in every community that is part of the grouping. That explains why when you also look at Rocky River, Westlake, Fairview Park, and North Olmsted, the number of" ballots cast" in those cities exceeds "registered" voters as well. (Only Westlake's isn't higher - but it is 25,000 to 25,000).

The reason the numbers are inflated under "Ballots cast" is because the number for Bay Village includes the absentee ballots cast in Bay Village, Rocky River, Westlake and North Olmsted.


Ok - this is the visual. I apologize for any anxiety that went along with these numbers.

Below is a picture of my understanding gained from talking directly to the county in question. This is not an actual picture of the county and is merely for explanation purpose ONLY.

The pink/purple section would represent one absentee ballot total - which is thus added into precincts 1 through 3. The orange section would represent another absentee ballot total - which is thus added into precincts 4 through 7. And the yellow section yet another absentee ballot area - which is thus added to precincts 8-11. The actual ballots cast on election day are not the only numbers represented on the county website (http://boe.cuyahogacounty.us/BOE/results/currentresults1.htm), but also include absentee ballots for more than that one precinct - inflating the numbers beyond the total registered for that precinct. Though they are only "counted" once for the final county reported numbers.




This is merely an example - NOT an actual image of ANY county or precinct



However, in the summary report (http://boe.cuyahogacounty.us/BOE/results/history/2004/EL52.TXT) the absentee ballot data is separate from the precinct data. In using the intial page summary (see link 1 below), where I got the intial data for the prior spreadsheet on this page, it appears there are too many votes since the absentee ballot issue is not clearly explained on link 1, nor reflected in the data presented on that page. However, using the summary report (link 2), the numbers seem much clearer, so far. I was assured that the reported total for Cuyahoga County only added in the absentee numbers once. I have faith that the numbers are correct - they may not be - but time and tabulations will tell.

I hope that clears up most of the misunderstandings.

My sincere apologies - thank you to those who question the data - you are the ones who keep us credible. Don't stop doing so - and keep looking at the data - but learn from my mistake (yes, I'm human and fallible) and contact the county election board if you have questions about the data you're using and/or find something that doesn't seem right.

I will post on this site the new data that I checked (from someone who submitted their data). I just have to check with the county on a few things first.


Common Questions:

Why are the same absentee ballots counted in different precincts? Well, the short answer - they aren't. See the above figure and the preceding explanation in blue. The same numbers are reflected in different precincts, but are only counted once for the official total.


Does this include provisionals? Considering Ohio State has a law whereby provisionals are not counted until 10 days post-election, the logical answer would be no, but this has not been verified with the county election board.

Why would absentee ballots for more than one precinct inflate the total number of ballots cast (by literally thousands) beyond the number of registered voters? Absentee voters must be registered as well. Yes they must, and they are, otherwise they wouldn't have received an absentee ballot. However, absentee ballots only seem to inflate the numbers on the main page, not the 2000+ page summary or the reported total. This is how the confusion occurred to begin with. The front page is not clear about the absentee ballot issue. I was reassured that these absentee ballots are only totaled in once for the final count.

I'm done running data, just need to check with the county on a few things, so please be patient.

If you wish to play with the numbers, here are some useful links:

1. Original Source Used - Do not use this for data analysis! Misleading reporting on this link.
http://boe.cuyahogacounty.us/BOE/results/currentresults1.htm

2. Ward and Precinct Vote Totals - Use this for your data analysis. You can find totals for registered voters here (top of report) and ballots cast (toward page 165 and beyond)
http://boe.cuyahogacounty.us/BOE/results/history/2004/EL52.TXT

3. Additional Data
http://boe.cuyahogacounty.us/BOE/results/EL45.txt


email feedback and additional information to:
nohometown@yahoo.com


All links and information herein contained have been provided through online research by concerned citizens of the USA and other countries.
It is not the intention of the web editor to deface any party, person, or group of persons - it is the author's intention to be sure that democracy is reliable. Since and prior to November 2, 2004, there has been evidence that our democracy is NOT reliable (e.g. computer "glitches", voting irregularities, voter suppression).

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flyarm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-04-04 05:16 AM
Response to Reply #23
24. i have this also from approx nov 10th

a friend sent this to me from ohio nov 10th..she was looking into the numbers...so these are from nov 10th..fly



Cuyahoga County BOE Results
All entries in red are those cities where ballots cast exceed registered voters.

City Registered Voters Ballots Cast

Bay Village 13,710 18, 663
Beachwood 9,943 13,939
Bedford 9.942 14,465
Bedford Heights 8,142 13,512
Bentleyville 801 502
Berea 13,241 11,372
Bratenahl 1214 762
Brecksville 11,304 7303
Broadview Heights 13,312 11,181
Brooklyn 8016 12,303
Brooklyn Heights 1144 1869
Brookpark 14,491 14,458
Chagrin Falls Twp 112 67
Chagrin Falls Vil. 3557 4860
Cleveland 323,202 214,902
Cleveland Heights 38,840 29,885
Cuyahoga Heights 570 1382
East Cleveland 18,244 15,045
Euclid 37,618 27,479
Fairview Park 13,342 18,472
Garfield Heights 19,953 18,636
Gates Mills Vil. 2250 1375
Glenwillow Vil. 448 213
Highland Heights 6449 5731
Hunting Valley 544 301
Independence 5735 6226
Lakewood 41,983 28,531
Linndale 92 53
Lyndhurst 12,411 7,681
Maple Heights 18,608 15,808
Mayfield Heights 13,755 12,086
Mayfield Vil. 2,764 3,145
Middleburg Heights 12,173 14,854
Moreland Hills 2,990 4,616
North Olmsted 25,794 25,887
North Randall 896 393
North Royalton 22,404 18,233
Oakwood Village 2,746 7,099
Olmsted Falls 6,538 7,328
Olmsted Twp. 8,418 5,380
Orange Village 2,775 1,748

City Registered Voters Ballots Cast

Parma 56,146 43,289
Parma Heights 14,647 13,967
Pepper Pike 5,131 6,479
Richmond Heights 7,753 4,787
Rocky River 16,600 20,070
Seven Hills 9,077 8,473
Shaker Heights 24,577 14,499
Solon 16,949 13,819
South Euclid 16,902 16,917
Strongsville 34,805 29,125
University Heights 10,072 11,982
Valley View 1,787 3,409
Walton Hills 1,953 1,333
Warrensville Hts. 10,562 15,039
Westlake 25,627 25,173
Woodmere 558 8,854
Bedford CSD 22,777 27,856
Cleveland CSD 324,429 218,266
Independence LSD 5,735 6,226
Mayfield CSD 25,218 20,952
Orange CSD 11,640 22,931
Shaker Hts.CSD 28,075 25,028
Strongsville CSD 34,805 29,125
Warrensville CSD 12,218 15,822


Sources: http://boe.cuyahogacounty.us/BOE/results/history/2004/EL52.TXT

And http://boe.cuyahogacounty.us/BOE/results/currentresults1.htm


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