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Most of the uncounted ballots in Montgomery County are in Kerry precincts

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berniew1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Dec-05-04 02:27 PM
Original message
Most of the uncounted ballots in Montgomery County are in Kerry precincts
Montgomery County
There are 696 uncounted absentee ballots (2.38% of 29,298), and 4,387 uncounted regular ballots (1.70% of 258,337) in Montgomery County. These, along with any uncounted provisional ballots, need to be examined by hand during the recount. The same holds true for every other county in Ohio.

The strikingly partisan distribution of the uncounted ballots is nothing short of shocking. There are 588
precincts in Montgomery County. As the above table shows, the percentage of uncounted ballots is 4.0% or more in 47 precincts, and every single one of these precincts was won by John Kerry, nearly all of them by overwhelming margins. Only two were even close.

Altogether, in these 47 precincts, Kerry won 14,871 votes to 2,032 for Bush, a margin of 7 to 1. In these
47 precincts there are 920 uncounted regular ballots, or 21.0% of the county wide total. In the other 541
precincts in Montgomery County, among which the uncounted regular ballots are distributed at a rate of 6.4 per precinct, Kerry won 128,106 votes to 136,329 for Bush. Thus, 21.0% of the uncounted regular
ballots are in 8.7% of the precincts that accounted for 6.0% of the votes in the county.

In these 47 precincts, which went for Kerry by a margin of 7 to 1, the “spoilage” rate of regular
ballots was 5.16%, compared to 1.31% for the rest of the county, and 1.70% for the whole of the county.

There is an old political adage which says that only a close election can be stolen. In a close election, uncounted ballots can make all the difference.
Richard Hayes Phillips, PhD
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Patiod Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Dec-05-04 02:32 PM
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1. Montgomery County where? nt
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berniew1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Dec-05-04 02:36 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Montgomery County, Ohio (Dayton)
Edited on Sun Dec-05-04 02:37 PM by berniew1
Montgomery County, Ohio (Dayton)

It is similar in Columbus and Cleveland. He's already done analysis of those areas.
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drm604 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Dec-05-04 02:37 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. Re: Montgomery County where?
That threw me for a moment also. I live in Montgomery County, PA and I believe there's also one in Maryland and there may be others also. But if you read the post he does mention Ohio. But he probably should have mentioned it in the subject line.
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YBR31 Donating Member (83 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Dec-05-04 02:33 PM
Response to Original message
2. You should email this to Cliff Arnebeck and to the GLIBS who are recountin
Arnebeck@aol.com is the email for Cliff Arnebeck. I don't know the email for the GLIBS
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drm604 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Dec-05-04 02:34 PM
Response to Original message
3. Link Please? n/t
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Philostopher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Dec-05-04 02:40 PM
Response to Original message
6. Jeez, and Kerry *won* MontCo --
though it would likely have come out fairly close either way, if counting were honest, judging by the general cant of registrations. And the GOP aren't nearly as crappy here toward Dems as they are in some other places in Ohio -- they didn't want poll-challengers here, and asked Blackwell not to do it. Just imagine what crap they may have pulled in other places, where the GoOPers are nastier toward Dems.

Sheesh -- I knew Ohio was bad, but what a freakin' banana republic.
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