Check out the suburban vote! Wouldn't this apply to Warren County?

[ClintCooper2003]

VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY (Ohio)

Urban
Bush 49 Kerry 50

Small Cities
Bush 38 Kerry 62

Suburban
Bush 49 Kerry 51

Small Towns
Bush 43 Kerry 55

Rural
Bush 59 Kerry 40

[buzzard]

1. Do you know what % of the total vote was rural??

[ClintCooper2003]

2. Yeah, it was 19%. check out exitpollz.org

[RaulVB]

3. Kick

[Igel]

4. Link/source?

[ClintCooper2003]

5. exitpollz.org

[Igel]

9. Tx. n/t

[KaliTracy]

6. um warren country area is quite republican and not quite suburban

however, there was an incredible GOTV push in Warren County, and they signed up many, many people. Yet the percentages for Warren county for Democratic Candidate were almost the same! (about 28% both in 2000 and in 2004).

Warren County has a lot of farms still -- it's not all cow country, but a lot of it is.... oh, yes... it also has this



which is right there on I-75....

[KatieB]

7. AND WHO/WHAT IS THAT?

[KaliTracy]

8. who do you think?

the big J man -- in all his shining glory

[senegal1]

10. interesting resource for data crunchers

***Maybe everyone who is crunching the numbers already knows about this site but then again maybe not.... sorry if its a dupe.****


http://www.hmdc.harvard.edu/ROAD /

*****This is a huge data set on prior elections which is (if I understand it correctly) geographically located for each voting area down to cities and precincts, which also lists socioeconomic data and demographic factors for either precincts or slightly larger areas. I see this could be useful for those who are seeking to debunk the myth that certain areas split their vote or other questions we may need answered. When using this be careful to read the notes on the data as they clearly point out small errors in the data.************

The Record of American Democracy
by Gary King - Bradley Palmquist
Published in PS: Political Science and Politics and Sociological Methods and Research

A massive new aggregate data set on American politics is now available. Our Record Of American Democracy (ROAD) data include election returns, socioeconomic summaries, and demographic measures of the American public at unusually low levels of geographic aggregation. The NSF-supported ROAD project covers every state in the country from 1984 through 1990 (including some off-year elections). One collection of data sets includes every election at and above State House, along with party registration and other variables, in each state for the roughly 170,000 precincts nationwide (about 60 times the number of counties). Another collection has added to these (roughly 30-40) political variables an additional 3,725 variables merged from the 1990 U.S. Census for 47,327 aggregate units (about 15 times the number of counties) about the size one or more cities or towns. These units completely tile the U.S. landmass. This collection also includes geographic boundary files so users can easily draw maps with these data.

We find it remarkable that the electoral record of the world's leading democracy is routinely lost or discarded. Election returns in the U.S. are collected by precinct and passed on to county offices in every state. In these county offices, the official electoral record then gets stuffed under desks, recycled, occasionally put into archives, or most often discarded. For the first time, a substantial piece of the entire electoral record of American democracy has been preserved. We hope someone (or our elected officials) takes on the task of institutionalizing the formal preservation of this record. For now, we hope the scientific community will take advantage of this unprecedented opportunity.

The ROAD data represent an opportunity for political scientists, geographers, quantitative historians, sociologists, and others to learn about electoral behavior, the political characteristics of local community context, electoral geography, the role of minority groups in elections and legislative redistricting, split ticket voting and divided government, elections under federalism, and numerous other topics of central importance to many disciplines.

[ClintCooper2003]

13. But even if it's not suburban (more rural) - the exit poll showed...

Kerry taking 44% of the rural vote in Ohio. I just don't know.... nothing adds up!

[Democrat Dragon]

11. How much of Ohio

is rural anyway? Aren't rural communities the lowest in population?

[KaliTracy]

12. not sure

Where the lockdown took place (warren county) there is Butler county and Montgomery county on either side which are more suburban than not -- Warren County just has a lot of different demographics, that's all. I wouldn't say it's all rural, but there are definite farms that can be seen from the highway. But then there are some farms in Butler County too -- but more have been bought out in the last few years or so and developed.

Going north toward Toledo one actually runs into more farmland.