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Biggest Fraud: Florida, Iowa, and New Mexico.....

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Laura PourMeADrink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-20-04 11:16 PM
Original message
Biggest Fraud: Florida, Iowa, and New Mexico.....
Edited on Mon Dec-20-04 11:21 PM by Laura PackYourBags
Remember, Zogby had Bush AHEAD in Ohio by 6%! on November 1st and look how close it ended up, despite the fraud and voter suppression! The 3 states WE WERE AHEAD IN on November 1st, that we didn‘t win: Florida, Iowa, and New Mexico. How could ANYONE in their right mind say this could happen without MAJOR FRAUD. I bet Jeb got in trouble for pushing Florida outside the MOC (Margin of Cheating)

FLORIDA

November 1 Poll:...KERRY 49....BUSH 48....KERRY SPREAD:..+1
Bogus Result:.......KERRY 47....BUSH 52....BUSH SPREAD:...+5
ONE DAY BUSH GAIN:..+6
Exits:Voters "Deciding Today"(Undecided on 11/1):..KERRY 53..BUSH 44


IOWA

November 1 Poll:...KERRY 50....BUSH 46....KERRY SPREAD:..+4
Bogus Result:.......KERRY 49....BUSH 50....BUSH SPREAD:...+1
ONE DAY BUSH GAIN:..+5
Exits:Voters "Deciding Today"(Undecided on 11/1):..KERRY 52..BUSH 45


NEW MEXICO

November 1 Poll:...KERRY 50....BUSH 48....KERRY SPREAD:..+2
Bogus Result:.......KERRY 49....BUSH 50....BUSH SPREAD:...+1
ONE DAY BUSH GAIN:..+3
Exits:Voters "Deciding Today"(Undecided on 11/1):..KERRY 56..BUSH 41


P.S. on Edit...These states total 39 EVs - Final Real Result Kerry 291, Bush 247


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The Doctor. Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-21-04 12:48 AM
Response to Original message
1. Yep - that's right...
send all of this to your Senators and Representatives... Rep or Dem.

Tell them what you think and watch nothing happen.

They don't realize (The Dems) that they are next on the chopping block.

I've compiled so much of this shit I'm going blind.
The evidence rivals Mount Olympus... but people are too lazy to care.

We will all pay the price.
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Bill Bored Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-21-04 01:24 AM
Response to Original message
2. kick
What were the MOEs of these polls?

So far, I find this evidence to be a lot more compelling than the Red Shift of the early Mitofsky exit polls, which Mitofsky himself said were initially wrong.

Kerry was ahead the day before the election in these states, with the undecideds _breaking_ for Kerry, yet Kerry still loses.

I think this is why Zogby has called for an investigation.

Are there any exit polls of the decided voters by the same pollster.

Are there any other states of interest?

Thanks for posting!
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bemis12 Donating Member (594 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-22-04 08:17 AM
Response to Reply #2
8. It would be a lot more compelling
if it had been confirmed by other polls. However, the average polling had kerry behind slightly in each of these states on November 1.

You can make the polls say anything you want if you pick and choose the ones to believe.

Here are the last pre-election polls:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/bush_vs_kerry_sbys.html

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Laura PourMeADrink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-22-04 10:37 AM
Response to Reply #2
9. MOEs
Florida (49K 48B)
Average of two 11/1 polls
American Research Group (ARG) 50K 48B (MOE 4)
Zogby 48K 48B (MOE 4.1)

P.S. 10/31 Fox News Poll had Kerry up 5 points 49K 44B with MOE 3.0

Iowa (50K 46B)
Average of two 11/1 polls
Survey USA 50K 47B (MOE 4.4)
Zogby 50K 45B (MOE 4.1)

New Mexico (50K 48B)
Average of:
Zogby 51K 48B (MOE 4.1) - 11/1
ARG 48K 47B
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procinderella Donating Member (110 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-21-04 01:27 AM
Response to Original message
3. Don't forget Minnesota
Even though Kerry won Minnesota. He was up by 9% on the last exit poll. Then he only won by about 3%.
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Carolab Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-21-04 01:37 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. And don't forget Mary Kiffmeyer
Edited on Tue Dec-21-04 01:40 AM by Carolab
the creepy Republican SOS who tried so hard to suppress the vote going into the race.

Oh, I am sure Minnesota has LOTS of things. I just looked at a few areas of interest to myself, based on a couple of hunches and some odd election night number, and right off the bat found suspicious data.

There is a team that is going to do a thorough analysis of the election, at a precinct level. It is being headed up by Kathy Dopp. Her second in command is from Minnesota.

This is a GREAT effort and will uncover all the truth. They need volunteers in each state and contributions.

http://uscountvotes.org/
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skids Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-22-04 11:00 AM
Response to Reply #4
12. Don't forget Poland! :-) n/t
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berniew1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-21-04 10:06 AM
Response to Original message
5.  vote machine fraud pattern for Fla., N.Mex., Ohio at these links
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Lil Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-22-04 04:21 AM
Response to Original message
6. Is it too late to recount New Mexico? I haven't kept up, but I thought
Edited on Wed Dec-22-04 05:18 AM by Lil
Richardson gave a deadline when $1.5 mil. was needed?

If not too late, interesting clause in WA law? about money being refunded to the DEM is G. wins.

Wonder if NM has such a clause?
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AtLiberty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-22-04 08:09 AM
Response to Original message
7. Were the polls listed in the thread opener...
...taken by Zogby?
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Laura PourMeADrink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-22-04 10:38 AM
Response to Reply #7
10. Stats
Florida (49K 48B)
Average of two 11/1 polls
American Research Group (ARG) 50K 48B (MOE 4)
Zogby 48K 48B (MOE 4.1)

P.S. 10/31 Fox News Poll had Kerry up 5 points 49K 44B with MOE 3.0

Iowa (50K 46B)
Average of two 11/1 polls
Survey USA 50K 47B (MOE 4.4)
Zogby 50K 45B (MOE 4.1)

New Mexico (50K 48B)
Average of:
Zogby 51K 48B (MOE 4.1) - 11/1
ARG 48K 47B
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GOPBasher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-22-04 10:58 AM
Response to Original message
11. Nothing to see here. Move on.
Don't mind the fascist theocracy.
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Laura PourMeADrink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-22-04 11:10 AM
Response to Reply #11
13. don't you mean "Fur - ree- dumb"?
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ISUGRADIA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-22-04 11:33 AM
Response to Original message
14. MOE would have Bush within striking range in any of these states
and polls before an election are not sampling the actual universe of voters who show up on election day. And as another poster noted you fail to mention other polls that showed the race closer in these states. Zogby had a tendency to oversample Kerry voters when compared to other firms.
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Yupster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-22-04 11:47 AM
Response to Reply #14
15. Here are the polls, all of them
http://www.electoral-vote.com/pastpolls.html

You can cherry pick your favorites for either side, but the polls are very close, and the election was very close.

A disinterested observer would look at these polls and think the pollsters did pretty well this election - especially since the pollsters were nervous that they weren't getting the likely voter sample right. Turns out they were pretty close. The Pew polls final poll was Bush 51- Kerry 48 so they've got to be pretty happy.
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