Blue battleground exit polls accurate; red exit polls off 4-7%

[chorti]

I posted this morning but it is already archived, so I am shamelessly self-promoting and repeating. You can download the report from this website: <http://www.indybay.org/news/2005/01/1713046.php>

Here is the summary - I compared the question contained in the exit polls - 'When did you decide who you were going to vote for?' with the voter preference trends from the state- and national pre-election polls. Guess what? The blue battleground states are right on target - the two polls match. But the red battleground states - Ohio, Florida, Iowa, New Mexico - are way off. The exit poll overestimates Bush's support consistently by four to seven points.

One of the best clues for voter fraud is manipulation of the exit polls in order to cover up the fraud. This report is full of examples of exit poll inconsistencies which point to exit poll manipulation and false weighting, which in turn, point to the possibility of widespread vote fraud.

For example, "Bush won the last day deciding voters in only nine states (by more than one percentage point). And five of the nine are blue states - Massachusetts, California, Hawaii, Rhode Island, and Pennsylvania. The only red states where Bush won amongst voters deciding on the day of the election were Wyoming, Kansas, Alabama, and West Virginia. Kerry won the last day deciders by a 71-26 margin in North Carolina, a 62-34 margin in Arizona, a 61-39 margin in Ohio and Oklahoma, and a 53-41 margin in South Dakota, but we are supposed to believe that he lost the election day deciding voters in Massachusetts and California?!"