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Were there ANY exit polls that were wrong in the other direction?

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trotsky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-06-04 09:38 AM
Original message
Were there ANY exit polls that were wrong in the other direction?
In other words, polls that showed * winning but Kerry ended up being the victor?

ANY?
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robbedvoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-06-04 09:42 AM
Response to Original message
1. GOOD QUESTION. NONE. Same with Glitches
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rainy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-06-04 09:44 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. I would really like to print this bar graph analysis but
it is too big. Can anyone make it smaller so I can email it and print it?
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Old and In the Way Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-06-04 10:19 AM
Response to Reply #3
9. Right click on it.
Click "save picture as" to your harddrive. When you open it there, you should be able to size it to your print requirements.....or e-mail it.
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anamandujano Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-06-04 10:35 AM
Response to Reply #3
12. smaller sizes
Edited on Sat Nov-06-04 10:44 AM by anamandujano


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anamandujano Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-06-04 10:40 AM
Response to Reply #12
13. add to above post
Edited on Sat Nov-06-04 10:46 AM by anamandujano
I made the whole graph smaller in photoshop but the print was illegible so I divided them up.

Here is the bad copy, maybe someone else can do better.

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rainy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-06-04 11:18 AM
Response to Reply #13
14. thank you all very much, printing now
nt
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Old and In the Way Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-06-04 10:25 AM
Response to Reply #1
10. I photocopied 100 of these.
Plan to seed these throughout town. A guy I know who has a coffee shop is taping it to the door....people have to see it on the way in. He's keeping some on the counter for anyone who wants to study it while they wait for their order.
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RC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-06-04 09:44 AM
Response to Original message
2. Good question
You would think there would be if the exit poles were in error. But as far as I know, the exit poles broke in Kerry's favor and bu$h "won".
Also I read in the states where they had the so called Marriage Amendment, bu$h won by large amounts, but the amendment was in line with the exit pole. How could that be?
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trotsky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-06-04 09:48 AM
Response to Reply #2
4. Flawed methodology in polls would lead to two results, IMO.
Edited on Sat Nov-06-04 09:51 AM by trotsky
1) Exit polls off for both sides. Roughly half showing a Kerry win ended up *, half the other way. It's obvious that didn't happen.

2) Exit polls off the same way for EVERY state. That would show sampling errors that consistently oversampled one side. But that didn't happen either. We saw accurate polls in states that had verifiable voting, inaccurate elsewhere. And all of those were wrong in the same direction.

This fact alone is reason enough to suspect these election results.
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IdaBriggs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-06-04 09:51 AM
Response to Original message
5. None. Check here for details --
Edited on Sat Nov-06-04 09:53 AM by IdaBriggs
The poster is a statistics professor at a well respected University:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=11874
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BayStateBoy Donating Member (562 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-06-04 09:56 AM
Response to Original message
6. I haven't found any. Two Reasons Why The Exit Polls Have Validity
1. They were only wrong in states using BBV or combinations of methods

2. They only give votes to Chimpie
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noamnety Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-06-04 10:12 AM
Response to Original message
7. Florida charts here


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SmokingJacket Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-06-04 10:17 AM
Response to Original message
8. "They're part of the liberal media, doncha know?"
That'll be the excuse, mark my words.
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Old and In the Way Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-06-04 10:30 AM
Response to Reply #8
11. The only way to validate is to convass the voters and get signed
affidavits on who they voted for.
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