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Weird juxtaposition on the "exit polls" situation

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zbdent Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-20-05 06:55 PM
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Weird juxtaposition on the "exit polls" situation
I'm reviewing some AP articles from 11/3/2004.

Interesting note from the Star-Telegrams' reporting of "why Bush " apparently "won":

"If President Bush wins re-election, he'll owe it largely to Christian conservatives, white men, the wealthy and those who cite terrorism as their top issue.

That's the rough conclusion that can be gleaned from Associated Press and TV network exit polls released Tuesday."

Hmm, the "exit polls" were "correct" about that, but not correct about Kerry/Edwards? Funny how they trust them there, huh?
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RaulVB Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-20-05 07:06 PM
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1. Don't get me started (n/t)
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Nothing Without Hope Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-20-05 07:55 PM
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2. Yeah, well. Their reliability obviously depends on who's
using them for what purpose! A new form of flexible mathematics!!
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KingoftheJungle Donating Member (355 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-20-05 10:00 PM
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3. Think that's weird? Look at this
Watch the shift in between the exit poll graph charts, with the pre-weighted going first and after the weighted.

http://f3.grp.yahoofs.com/v1/sB7vQYUzbX-R8HeMfPcvaTZsw7xWU2XwyrWWQ8reN-khxLoheSWYMZsAvfk585Bnr1s5bZdEvCKk1eQTpyxty8419i6Gie7xCz_3eyY/epolls.0.htm



So those are all the pre-weighted polls before any shift. Notice the extra high numbers on the democrat side for certain religions, ie: jewish, christian/other/unitarian. There is an extraordinarily high number if you look at the first set of exit polls here

exitpollz.org

Look also at church attendance and how often they meet for their circles, and the democrat side is awfully high, on the side of republican for things like "Honest Trustworthy" which are not that high. But look at the republican side of protestant/weekly and it seems to be going even higher.

Now after seeing all of those look at the "Weighted" exit polls.

http://f2.grp.yahoofs.com/v1/sB7vQTBm_WeR8HeMiO3vj7in9ew3onNHkI9bawkFZp3m7q7xZQSVlpLjqyB-EHoS51a61ElShZNJcltAe_v2eYL_zbDlCUZejR8lwSI/Election%202004%20Exit%20Poll.htm

Everything on the exit polls for the democrat side shows a decrease in religion, a drop in the numbers for the religious affiliation and a drop in jewish, other and church attendance.

Now look carefully at the republican side. It shows a more than 1% shift to "Honest Trustworthy" and the other "Religous Faith" not to mention more than 2% swing towards "Strong Leader"

Now if that wasn't something, look at every single circle under the religious affiliation for the republican side. There is an increase of proportion on all sides and for church attendence. Nowhere has it actually decreased, in the whole format you see it increase by the same amount the democrat side decreased.

And even more strangely, on the final WEIGHTED exit poll numbers is an additional column under "Opinion For Bush" Enthusiastic was added, which apparently increased by more than 40% out of the blue.

The last part which really makes no sense, is NEP's final exit polls.



Here, an additional catergory has been added: Evangelical, and all the numbers on the republican side have increased once again.
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