What is the Dem/Repub Ratio?

[davidgmills]

Prior to the election, there was much discussion about this. Pollsters adjusted up and down for what they thought it was.

When was the last national poll (with a large sample/low MOE) of voters to indicate party ID?

This would seem to be a constant, although freepers were telling me before the election that Repubs had caught up or moved ahead.

If there is a good recent poll in existence on this subject, I think it might be persuasive in arguing that the 13,047 national number was indeed representative of the whole population, if the two match up regarding party ID.

[Name removed]

1. Deleted message

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[Wilms]

2. n/t

:rofl:

[davidgmills]

3. Seriously doubt it

[TruthIsAll]

4. 1996:39/35; 2000:39/35; 2004 (13047 exit):38/35; 2004 Final (13660): 37/37

What do YOU think it is?

[slackmaster]

5. You might find California's trends interesting

I throw this out because we are the largest state and have been more or less reliably Democratic in national elections for over a decade.

http://www.ss.ca.gov/elections/ror/reg_stats_02_10_05.pdf

Both the Democratic and Republican parties have been losing voters for a decade. The biggest gain is in Declined to State (our term for independents) - 17.9% as of February 2005.

The Republicans now have majorities in 37 of our 58 counties, as conservatives flock away from the urban counties.